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June 02, 2011, 05:45:29 AM |
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Like I've mentioned before, it's impossible to know whether Bitcoins are lost or not, but looking at the last graph (% in circulation), it's apparent that a large part of the BTC mined initially were permanently kept out of circulation (presumably lost). However, as the months went on, the coins in circulation tended to carry over to the following month. (Note that it's also impossible to distinguish whether the coins actually changed hands or were laundered or shuffled about, but I doubt that those activities comprise a significant percentage.)
For about a year, only 10-20% of the Bitcoins in circulation were completely hoarded away during any particular month. However, this percentage has gone up, likely due to the sudden changes in value. Nonetheless, nearly 70% (about 1.1 million) of the Bitcoins in circulation in April were eventually exchanged during May, so I believe that's a good sign.
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