I am happy that Afghanistan won as they played really well compared to Ireland and Shah's 108 runs along with Shenwari was truly amazing. Ireland is a stronger team overall but they don't manage to defend their score.
I am also supporting kangaroos this time, no kohli means chance of India winning this test is only around 30-40%. Australia is also in good form in last few matches and dharmasala have good pitch for Australians bowlers.
I don't feel it would make a big difference as Kohli hasn't been making many changes in his team that has helped them to win. I have always felt that it's the team overall that manages to win the match and not just one player. He hasn't been even performing well since the last 3 matches and if Rahul, Pujara and Jadeja play well, India can win this match and then the series.