So i was talking with a friend and highly respected ICO expert.
I gave him my views. Would love to see what other people make of these maths.
So, taking the Cap into consideration and estimating the possible outcome of investments.
MATH
*21 million swiss franks. (cap for Phase 2) is 19.6m euro is 19,673 BTC
Plus say they raise another 400btc (258btc now)
+ 120k ETH = 4882 BTC
= 24,919 BTC = 28,388,945 USD
(so safe to say around 30,000000 (Thirty Million USD investment) in total, approx 27 - 32 Million..
Which would make the market cap ? (really high right) BUT lets say it does fashion itself into a new "ETH" then a realistic price for coin at start would be 50 cents+ (there about.) So anyone who invested on the first day...
Like me. i invested x ETH = x btc at currenct prices, lets say ETH goes to 0.08 which i predict it will so x2 btc. (not important the last part)
I get x nearly x AE tokens.
I only need the price to be worth around 7k to break even....
(same as Golem is currently)
so 20 cents to break even.
Or have i missed something? TO me 7k satoshi seems ok. (not great, not even very good... but OK)
You haven't missed a thing. By my calculations too it is all systems go now that they have added the cap. I do think the cap for round 2 should be lower, but the cap is a good start.
I think the FUD is current investors trying to "protect" their investment by not wanting to share their coins with new investors.
Just look at the investments so far, that's some big whales and some people that are going to make sure AE has some very nice days on the market, as long as the dev team deliver on their tech and implement a solid marketing strategy. With the budget they have now it could really blow up if they play their cards right.