Ever since mid May we have been seeing the huge weekly dumps ~> then Mt.Gox stops outgoing wires ~> then the huge dumps stop ~> Those coins move to other exchanges bringing the price down below Mt.Gox....
Which is where we are now.
This makes me a bit scared for when Mt.Gox starts transfers again. I wonder how many coins are waiting to be dumped once the wires come back. If I had a huge stash, and was dumping weekly, and Gox all of a sudden halted wires, I would move all my coins out of Gox, and into my wallet. If I needed some cash, or was trying to stick to a cash out plan, I would sell what I could on other exchanges without causing too much slippage. Any of those May/June size dumps on the other exchanges would just be stupid. So when Gox starts wires back up, who knows how much catching up we have to do after stalling all these dumps!
For this reason, I sold all but about 10% of my stash. Two months ago I bought a new Caddy, in full, and put a large down payment on a home, all with bitcoin speculative/minning money, so I'm not complaining much. I will definitely be sticking around for when we get a new reason for panic buying, which I don't see happening anytime soon. Yes, I know, with something as "new" as bitcoin, that new reason could happen tomorrow!
TLDR; Sold most of my coins, now waiting patiently on the sidelines. & MtGox opening wires back up should be a good show!
Congratulations! It's good to hear about someone buying something fun with their btc.
Bitcoin Charts price data going back a year will tell you that their has almost always been a disparity between the price at other exchanges and Gox with Gox always being higher. There was even a couple of people assisting with arbitrage using OKPay a while back but the transfer fees eat up a lot of the benefit. I can't remember the exact number but you need at least a 7% OR 9% difference in price for arbitrage to make sense. Gox only stopped cash withdrawals of USD. USD deposits and transfers to Mt. Gox continue so do deposits and withdrawals in other currencies. I don't think coins moving to other exchanges is causing the disparity in price unless that's been happening for more than a year. Your right, when Gox opens up USD withdrawals again its going to get interesting.
