Why are you talking averages? The fact of the matter it did retrace to $70 from $260 and has already retraced to < $600 from this bubble. Yes it may settle at a > $700 average when the dust has settled but there's every possibility we'll test $400 before that happens.
We will have to disagree there. In the last crash, everyone was calling for a certain low that "had" to be hit before we could go up. Consequently, we never hit that low. Your call is lower than the vast majority, and since it is unlikely we will visit the low they are calling for, it is even less likely that we will test $400. Barring more bad news of course. Just don't miss the train! We won't be resuming a raging bull market for a while, but trying to catch the bottom has ruined at least some.