If i am not wrong then there are two more Bitcoin ETF in the making, so this could be the dates you are asking for. But right now only the winklevoss ETF is important. People expect the ETF to be accepted so you can assume that some of the price rise is because of that. If approved most expect the price to rise further. If not, then many expect a decline (many want to make a quick buck and not hold for a long time, so they will sell) and the question is how low will Bitcoin go. Chances are about 50%, but this is my opinion. Because of this uncertainty we will see some movement. If you want to hold long time (a couple of years) this decision will not make an big impact on your winnings. But if you want sell this year, then this decision will have an impact and i would not recommend to speculate on it. If you want to invest $1000 then buy now for $500 and for another $500 after the decision. This will minimize your risks/reward.
Good decision to spend a half of the capital, I agree with it. However, I suggest to buy now instead of waiting for winklevoss ETF get approval/disapprove on March 11th as the price may increase again to $1200 even more until March 10th. You won't lose even though SEC will not approve ETF, just sell your bitcoin but I hope to hold for several weeks. However, if ETF get approval, panic buy maybe happen and everyone will follow to buy as much as they can.