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    Author Topic: [PROPOSAL] The Second Bitcoin Whitepaper  (Read 6347 times)
    dacoinminster (OP)
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    July 27, 2011, 02:41:24 PM
    Last edit: July 27, 2011, 03:12:34 PM by dacoinminster
     #41

    Here's the alternate scenario:

    1) Starting condition: $4M in the escrow fund, $2M from hyperbitcoin holders
    2) Whole world: "What?! We can own/trade commodities/currencies with no fees or paperwork??" *Tries to fit trillions of dollars of value into a 21M coin hole*
    3) Bitcoin prices: +100000000% (million-fold increase)
    4) Protocol: "Hmmm. Escrow fund is a million times larger than the target. Time to distribute some wealth to hyperbitcoin holders."
    5) Bitcoin holders: "We're rich!"
    6) Hyperbitcoin holders: "We're double-rich"
    7) That one guy who didn't have any bitcoin: *Jumps out window*

    And finally, the doomsday scenario

    1) Starting condition: $4T in the escrow fund, $2T from hyperbitcoin holders
    2) Jon Stewart: "Bitcoins suck! The escrow fund will go insolvent!"
    3) Whole world: *Tries to sell their bitcoins all at once, and any bitcoin-backed commodities/currencies they own*
    4) Protocol: "Um, the escrow fund is 50% low . . . no 60% . . . no 70% . . . oh crap!"
    5) Protocol: "Time to steal ALL the hyperbitcoins from the speculators: UBERYOINK!!"
    6) Speculators: *Jump out window*
    7) Protocol: "Anybody want to buy these hyperbitcoins?"
    8 ) New Speculators: "No thanks, we're too skeered!"
    9) Protocol: "Fine then. LET THERE BE BITCOINS!" *50M bitcoins appear in the escrow fund*
    10) Satoshi: "That's inflation! You've ruined my baby!" *Jumps out window*
    11) Bitcoin holders: "We're poor!" *Jump out window*
    12) Protocol: "Sorry. I'll destroy some bitcoins if prices go up again. Hopefully we'll get down to the 21M number again.
    13) Whole World: "We don't want bitcoins anymore"
    14) Bitcoin prices -> $0
    15) Protocol: "Let's see, to save the token-holders, I need to create infinity+1 bitcoins in the escrow fund. That does not compu..." *bitcoin implodes*
    16) Oilcoin/GoldCoin/USDCoin holders *Jump out window*

    Obviously the protocol cannot continue to stabilize prices if nobody wants bitcoins anymore. After reading my own doomsday scenario, I think that creating bitcoins out of thin air would be a very bad idea. I think at step 9 above, the protocol would just have to say: "Sorry token holders, you're screwed. The bitcoin show must go on!"

    New doomsday scenario ending:
    9) Protocol: "Sorry token-holders, while there are no speculators willing to absorb volatility, you will have to eat the volatility. Your OilCoins/AntiOilcoins GoldCoins/AntiGoldCoins will fluctuate in value with bitcoin prices until enough new speculators enter the ring."
    10) Token holders: "Sigh. OK. We knew this was in the cards when we signed up. Maybe if we hold these pegged coins long enough, speculators will buy hyperbitcoins and replenish the escrow fund and we won't have to take a loss."

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