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    Author Topic: Technological unemployment is (almost) here  (Read 88306 times)
    Gronthaing
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    May 21, 2015, 05:46:11 PM
     #841

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    You don't just buy a robot. Even if cheaper than human labor, often that doesn't manifest in the large initial investment needed. Then it will probably not be just one that you need. For all that you need not to start of poor. But rather have a large amount of initial capital. Then you need to compete with other richer producers. And could poor people working for each other help? There are resources that are limited. Land for example. And some things won't be cheaper even with automation because of this. But salaries will still drop with automation right? Until people work for the minimum that still lets them eat. And then maybe they will be able to compete with machines for the same jobs. Doesn't look like a good lifestyle.
    Thanks, at least there are some arguments worth debating.
    In fact I spent lots of time replying to it, but then I have seen that I did not included the impact of rent you mentioned. (I assumed wrongly that in highly competitive unhampered market, the cost of any product is equals to the cost of labor -which is true for knowledge jobs though-)
    I'll get back after some rothbard/mises/smith reading, remember seeing some stuff about rents, I don't remember their rational though. Cheesy

    Thanks for taking the time to look into it. But it isn't just rent right? What about rare materials that are needed for production and that you can't get everywhere? I don't know, maybe like rare earth elements that don't have many large deposits to make them usable. Poor people won't be able to own these sites or import from elsewhere easily. Doesn't that mean they will always be limited in what they can do by themselves? And be dependent on richer people that can do it?

    Before coming with better arguments about the other stuff you said, which made it clear I need to include rent in the picture, I can respond to the following:

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    Until people work for the minimum that still lets them eat
    Yes. Labor being like any good, the price of it is ultimately equals to its cost.

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    Doesn't look like a good lifestyle.
    It is not, but it assure minimum subsistence, while allowing the individual to develop his capacities to increase his salary.

    Don't think that can happen. A lot of people will be competing for the same jobs. Won't a minimum subsistence job mean people will eventually spend all their time working for food? If someone spends it trying to improve himself, someone else will be more desperate and work more for less. That is why I said it was a race to the bottom.

    "Labor market" is an erroneous term.
    I work in IT, and technically speaking, even if I am labor, I'm not in the same market than a cashier. (we are not competing each other)
    We should talk of labor markets with a "s", rather than 1 market.

    So it gives appropriate incentives for people to move into other markets where robot are not present or too costly.
    It is an incentive for individual development.

    The current way of doing it is though subsidies to innovation, which only goes to the pocket of the well politically connected rather than the poor.

    Many types of jobs can be automated already. More will be in a few years. Some programs can even do some creative work like shown in the other video. Maybe people will create other areas to work in. But automation will always follow. And people need time to learn and adapt to new areas. What happens if it reaches a point when they need to jump to a new area every few years to avoid automation? People can't adapt that fast.

    My guess is, there will be a higher tax on machines in the future. On the other hand, the more machines are producing products the higher will be the maintanance and management overhead which creates new jobs. Jobs shift from production to management.

    Still a lot less jobs of that kind are available. Not as many as needed for production. And not everyone can shift to new jobs that quickly.
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