Time and time people say bitcoin is 'deflationary'. That is wrong.
So STOP saying Bitcoin is deflationary. It is not.
(Hope you don't mind I shortened your thread, I am only replying to those points and not arguing your points.)
Let's separate "academic theory" with real world economics, so you understand what I say when I say btc is deflationary.
Simple question- Have bought a pizza with bitcoin this month? Would you?
Remember the guy who bought a $39k Porsche for 300 btc in May? Huffpo mocked that deal.... the car seller.
Would you sell your btc today to buy a house or major expense?
I doubt it, I wouldn't. It's not important because the 'real' economy is not relying on it. Pizza makers and realtors and car dealers still mostly don't care what btc costs.
But check with any btc accepting retailers you know and I bet they see biz drop off a cliff.
That is the only problem with a deflating currency. It kills trade, people will wait as long as they can to buy things cheaper if they believe deflation will continue.
This WILL happen, simple game theory, academics are out.
Whether it is long term or perpetual, not my place to guess for now. But right now, in the real economic sense, it is absolutely deflationary on its face.
Proof- will you think of something you need that costs $1,200, and allow me to sell it to you today for 1 BTC?
Assess your decision making process as you answer that question. That
is deflation.
Ignore economists! Bad for your psyche.