about the double spending and counterfeiting.
this isnt quite fool proof but does help a ton
The first 8 characters of the public Bitcoin address are visible on the outside, pre-printed on the hologram by the hologram manufacturer.
most addies can be verified by block explorer with just 8 chars. You could at least see if right at that moment there was exactly 1 coin in there.
Now If I was a store.... I would break it open, import the key to a temporary wallet, and send that money immediately to a permanent wallet.
This is so if he did actually counterfeit the entire coin, and still controls the private keys on his machine at home, the merchant can still get paid right away.
there might still be a small window.. due to the time it takes to get confirmations, but hardly a window very large for him to run home and quickly do a double spend. I'm not sure how that all works so cant say for sure but it adds a layer of difficulty if merchants destroy them immediately.
which would be good for casascius's bottom line..