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I'd say those are two weak arguments because they are purely speculation without evidence. On the other hand, i have two counter-arguments that are all for bitcoin rising in value again.
1. Bitcoin is ever-improving. Scalability is being addressed, mass adoption rates are growing, and people are becoming more aware of avoiding scams.
2. Cryptocurrencies add value to services. They cut out the middleman and offer a solution for the efficient transfer of value.
Have you considered that maybe that is why "everyone" (your words) is expecting BTC to break records and get to new crazy highs?

No, those arguments are not just "speculation," at least not the first one about manipulation to get to the 20K level. Just Google the Tether/Bitfinex story and go the paper put out by the professor in Texas. Not his first paper about financial markets and manipulation, and qualified peers take his work seriously. I don't think Bitcoin hits 20K this year. I don't think it will hit "crazy new highs" this year either.
And if I am right about that, it puts a damper on most every other alt-coin as well.
John M. Griffin
University of Texas at Austin - Department of Finance
Amin Shams
University of Texas at Austin - Department of Finance
Date Written: June 13, 2018
Abstract
This paper investigates whether Tether, a digital currency pegged to U.S. dollars, influences Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency prices during the recent boom. Using algorithms to analyze the blockchain data, we find that purchases with Tether are timed following market downturns and result in sizable increases in Bitcoin prices. Less than 1% of hours with such heavy Tether transactions are associated with 50% of the meteoric rise in Bitcoin and 64% of other top cryptocurrencies. The flow clusters below round prices, induces asymmetric auto-correlations in Bitcoin, and suggests incomplete Tether backing before month-ends. These patterns cannot be explained by investor demand proxies but are most consistent with the supply-based hypothesis where Tether is used to provide price support and manipulate cryptocurrency prices.