>> (p.1)
    Author Topic: User's sMerit Network size – Data to select possible Merit Sources  (Read 481 times)
    DdmrDdmr (OP)
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    There are lies, damned lies and statistics. MTwain


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    May 16, 2018, 04:20:04 PM
    Last edit: June 19, 2018, 04:10:05 PM by DdmrDdmr
    Merited by theymos (15), suchmoon (10), achow101 (10), darklus123 (10), Vod (5), malevolent (5), TMAN (5), vlom (3), LoyceV (2), Lucius (1), Welsh (1), coinlocket$ (1), vlad230 (1)
     #1

    Edit 19/06/2018:

    Added this information to the Merit Dashboard (Link:  BitcoinTalk Merit Dashboard), under tab "Potential Merit Sources" so as to allow for a dynamic periodical update of the data, as well as to apply filters to it with recalculation of the ratios (by section/subsection, date period or specific user). Data on dashboard is up to friday 15/06/2018.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    1. Introduction

    We’ve seen various post related to the Merit Network, both from a user’s perpective (Our very own sMerit Network Picture) and from a global perspective (sncc's Merit network analysis: merit rank distribution and satellites).
    The question of how to derive the potential sMerit Sources has come up recurrently, so I thought about digging into the data to see how this could be determined, or at least eased.
    The basic principal that I’m using is that potential users should have a track of sMerit awarding in their history. I think that the best criteria is determined by the size of the personal outgoing sMerit Network. That is, the number of distinct users that a certain user has awarded with sMerit over time.
    The hypothesis behind is that the more users that one has merited, the better knowledge he has of the underlying principles. The amount awarded is secondary in this case, but also a factor to narrow down candidates.

    This can be done from:
    a)   A Global perspective: Aggregating all the data for a given user.
    b)   A Section/Subsection perspective: Aggregating the data for a given user in a specific section/subsection.

    The numbers presented are those that I found, based on the snapshot of data collected 10 days ago (and aligned with the data presented in Forum Metrics - Section/subsection sMerit breakdown.). Since I do not know who the exact 79 sMerit Sources are, I have not taken them off the analysis. Logically, the current sMerit Sources should come up in the data right at the top in most cases.
    In addition to determining potential candidates for Merit Sources based on the above criteria, Merit Sources could be added by including moderators to that role, since they are already scouting the forum and parsing posts daily. It depends on whether they consider they can perform this additional task along side current tasks. This idea was nicely suggested by seoincorporation in other posts.

    In all cases, the candidates need to be manually screened, and vetoed if necessary (tracking DT, checking merited posts, etc.).

    In addition, I’d like to mention that determining the potential sMerit Sources comes in second place to determining where these sMerit Sources should develop their activity. Determining where there is a lack of sMerit Sources, in my opinion, derives from knowing how much sMerit is being given in a given section/subsection, and getting a measure of how many posts go unmerited, all in a given timeframe. The deficit can then covered by placing sMerit sources at work in those areas.

    The idea here is to be able to detect potential sMerit Source candidates, not to determine in this exercise where exactly they need to be active since that requires other input variables like I said.

    2. Global Perspective
    From a global perspective, this is the distribution of the size of the outgoing sMerit Network for all users with at least 1 sMerit sent over their history:



    We can see that 26 people have sent sMerit to over 100 distinct users each, 4 people to between 90 and 100 users, and so on.
    Only 6,63% of the users have a network with 10 or more awarded users.
    On the other extreme, a mass of 7.335 people have sent sMerit to only one user, representing 54,61% of all total sMerit awarders.

    I think that this last data is a low key tone in the system (more than half of awarders only awarded one user). Obviously this is related to the amount of sMerit available, but from the big picture’s point of view it doesn’t look great.

    So from a global point of view, the users that are candidates to being sMerit Sources would be (again, sMerit Sources will probably be on the lists at the top):
    (note: top 100 sMerit network size are provided in this list. Full list in a more user friendly format can be retrieved here:Google Drive sMerit Outgoing Network 20180516)

    The idea would be to scout the users on the list in a top down manner, favouring network size, but also using the complementary provided fields as filter criteria. Provided columns are:
    User_from: User_id
    Name: User alias
    Rank: User rank (as of data extraction)
    nSentTo: Network size. Number of distinct users that user_from has sent sMerit to.
    sMeritSent: aggregate sMerit sent by the user.
    nTx: Number of sMerit Transactions.
    avgSent: Average sMerit sent per Transaction.
    stdDevSent: Standard Deviation of sent sMerits.
    cVarSent: Coefficient of Variation (the smaller, the more constant value of merit awarded by the user)

    Code:
    user_from   name                rank                nSentTo        sMeritSent        nTx               avgSent           stdDevSent        cVarSent          NetworkGroup
    234771      suchmoon            Legendary           403            1087              738               1,47              1,1               0,74              >100
    1192397     paxmao              Full Member         363            571               519               1,1               0,39              0,35              >100
    18321       OgNasty             Donator             309            518               414               1,25              1,65              1,32              >100
    30747       Vod                 Legendary           261            1054              460               2,29              2,52              1,1               >100
    252510      JayJuanGee          Legendary           261            394               386               1,02              0,14              0,14              >100
    140584      EFS                 Staff               256            1055              577               1,83              1,85              1,01              >100
    98986       TMAN                Hero Member         244            1081              489               2,21              2,35              1,06              >100
    33156       vapourminer         Legendary           201            258               253               1,02              0,14              0,14              >100
    698159      Jet Cash            Hero Member         198            275               256               1,07              0,36              0,34              >100
    459836      LoyceV              Legendary           183            309               294               1,05              0,33              0,32              >100
    153634      dbshck              Staff               179            888               455               1,95              2,31              1,18              >100
    507936      DarkStar_           Legendary           172            551               261               2,11              2,08              0,99              >100
    51173       mprep               Global Moderator    166            444               262               1,69              1,46              0,86              >100
    487418      The Pharmacist      Legendary           162            333               253               1,32              0,82              0,63              >100
    72795       QuestionAuthority   Legendary           136            1733              153               11,33             8,75              0,77              >100
    382413      xandry              Staff               131            486               423               1,15              1,54              1,34              >100
    452769      bones261            Legendary           130            284               232               1,22              0,7               0,57              >100
    24140       qwk                 Donator             124            485               386               1,26              0,77              0,61              >100
    85033       d5000               Legendary           119            160               153               1,05              0,35              0,34              >100
    479624      Last of the V8s     Hero Member         116            319               316               1,01              0,1               0,1               >100
    379487      LFC_Bitcoin         Copper Member       114            236               209               1,13              0,49              0,43              >100
    290195      achow101            Staff               110            504               267               1,89              1,11              0,59              >100
    131361      Timelord2067        Legendary           110            192               192               1                 0                 0                 >100
    23092       malevolent          Staff               106            330               150               2,2               2,47              1,12              >100
    176777      mindrust            Legendary           103            319               128               2,49              4,98              2                 >100
    370611      bill gator          Copper Member       102            160               153               1,05              0,27              0,25              >100
    120694      xhomerx10           Legendary           98             259               168               1,54              1,98              1,29              (90..100]
    55384       Foxpup              Legendary           97             609               315               1,93              1,57              0,81              (90..100]
    143168      TheQuin             Hero Member         95             160               150               1,07              0,74              0,69              (90..100]
    553678      rickbig41           Global Moderator    94             303               132               2,3               1,96              0,85              (90..100]
    54791       Dabs                Staff               90             234               161               1,45              1,53              1,05              (80..90]
    68364       Hydrogen            Hero Member         90             141               123               1,15              0,35              0,31              (80..90]
    349097      Gleb Gamow          Legendary           89             194               166               1,17              1,07              0,91              (80..90]
    520313      Lutpin              Copper Member       89             260               113               2,3               2,87              1,25              (80..90]
    169515      EcuaMobi            Legendary           89             196               106               1,85              2,16              1,17              (80..90]
    88912       600watt             Legendary           88             231               147               1,57              2,57              1,64              (80..90]
    87229       yefi                Legendary           85             217               174               1,25              1                 0,8               (80..90]
    124876      STT                 Legendary           84             146               107               1,36              1,62              1,18              (80..90]
    175361      DooMAD              Legendary           83             204               134               1,52              0,78              0,51              (80..90]
    485285      WhiteManWhite       Legendary           83             95                95                1                 0                 0                 (80..90]
    129726      explorer            Legendary           81             232               189               1,23              0,87              0,71              (80..90]
    125583      tokeweed            Legendary           81             207               95                2,18              1,6               0,73              (80..90]
    60820       DannyHamilton       Legendary           80             267               189               1,41              0,66              0,47              (70..80]
    846936      sabotag3x           Hero Member         79             159               146               1,09              0,45              0,42              (70..80]
    81839       edgar               Legendary           79             157               122               1,29              0,77              0,6               (70..80]
    308793      1Referee            Legendary           79             242               114               2,12              6,82              3,21              (70..80]
    976210      nullius             Copper Member       78             318               214               1,49              2,85              1,92              (70..80]
     

    Code:
    user_from   name                rank                nSentTo        sMeritSent        nTx               avgSent           stdDevSent        cVarSent          NetworkGroup
    533006      richardsNY          Legendary           77             135               112               1,21              1,83              1,52              (70..80]
    557989      BTCforJoe           Hero Member         75             141               120               1,18              0,5               0,42              (70..80]
    787736      marlboroza          Hero Member         73             183               91                2,01              5,11              2,54              (70..80]
    41175       infofront           Legendary           72             160               152               1,05              0,46              0,43              (70..80]
    239406      Toxic2040           Sr. Member          72             123               114               1,08              0,42              0,39              (70..80]
    623643      johhnyUA            Hero Member         72             100               95                1,05              0,27              0,25              (70..80]
    533583      Lucius              Legendary           72             142               84                1,69              1,08              0,64              (70..80]
    84521       Welsh               Legendary           72             104               83                1,25              0,82              0,66              (70..80]
    550439      vlom                Legendary           71             165               83                1,99              2,83              1,42              (70..80]
    84866       ibminer             Legendary           69             176               119               1,48              1,11              0,75              (60..70]
    906023      poptop              Hero Member         68             198               172               1,15              0,59              0,51              (60..70]
    988740      frodocooper         Staff               68             273               167               1,63              1,38              0,84              (60..70]
    806776      digaran             Copper Member       68             218               96                2,27              1,65              0,73              (60..70]
    434984      mhanbostanci        Legendary           67             180               99                1,82              2,48              1,36              (60..70]
    507856      LeGaulois           Copper Member       66             112               87                1,29              0,73              0,57              (60..70]
    95019       Co1n                Sr. Member          65             108               102               1,06              0,44              0,42              (60..70]
    155345      gentlemand          Legendary           65             131               76                1,72              0,92              0,53              (60..70]
    569455      BobLawblaw          Legendary           64             386               204               1,89              3,86              2,04              (60..70]
    110785      AGD                 Legendary           64             76                75                1,01              0,12              0,11              (60..70]
    255065      ebliever            Legendary           63             221               100               2,21              1,37              0,62              (60..70]
    525058      InvoKing            Legendary           63             99                71                1,39              1,96              1,41              (60..70]
    6706        RodeoX              Legendary           63             86                69                1,25              0,47              0,37              (60..70]
    379147      pooya87             Legendary           61             132               83                1,59              1,63              1,03              (60..70]
    557798      TryNinja            Hero Member         61             89                74                1,2               0,57              0,48              (60..70]
    114848      Financisto          Hero Member         61             67                67                1                 0                 0                 (60..70]
    204821      Buchi-88            Legendary           60             181               124               1,46              1,31              0,9               (50..60]
    17501       iCEBREAKER          Legendary           60             210               68                3,09              3,54              1,15              (50..60]
    183781      pawel7777           Legendary           59             92                65                1,42              1,01              0,72              (50..60]
    65636       babo                Legendary           58             118               117               1,01              0,09              0,09              (50..60]
    163641      eternalgloom        Legendary           57             124               63                1,97              1,33              0,68              (50..60]
    913593      Juggy777            Sr. Member          57             59                59                1                 0                 0                 (50..60]
    511899      RoomBot             Legendary           56             218               83                2,63              5,7               2,17              (50..60]
    163318      Torque              Legendary           55             123               120               1,03              0,16              0,15              (50..60]
    347141      BitRentX            Staff               55             391               79                4,95              3,42              0,69              (50..60]
    28719       jbreher             Legendary           54             160               150               1,07              0,74              0,69              (50..60]
    1304130     pandukelana2712     Full Member         54             128               94                1,36              0,84              0,62              (50..60]
    313016      owlcatz             Legendary           54             169               79                2,14              2,74              1,28              (50..60]
    402366      Betwrong            Legendary           54             121               65                1,86              2,57              1,38              (50..60]
    49008       jojo69              Legendary           53             189               125               1,51              2,21              1,46              (50..60]
    1275282     joniboini           Full Member         52             152               109               1,39              1                 0,72              (50..60]
    1067333     micgoossens         Sr. Member          52             116               108               1,07              0,26              0,24              (50..60]
    867786      HCP                 Hero Member         52             106               86                1,23              0,7               0,57              (50..60]
    677181      Mometaskers         Hero Member         52             86                59                1,46              0,95              0,65              (50..60]
    226681      finist4x            Legendary           52             132               54                2,44              6,67              2,73              (50..60]
    443338      CjMapope            Legendary           51             166               57                2,91              1,86              0,64              (50..60]
    1023316     Ranyar              Sr. Member          51             80                57                1,4               1,44              1,02              (50..60]
    314792      examplens           Legendary           50             70                61                1,15              0,36              0,31              (40..50]
    164828      u9y42               Legendary           49             105               87                1,21              0,76              0,63              (40..50]
    223006      Karartma1           Legendary           49             172               79                2,18              2,34              1,07              (40..50]
    550315      snipie              Legendary           49             189               78                2,42              1,98              0,82              (40..50]
     

    Suchmoon comes at the top of the list, having the biggest outgoing sMerit network in the whole Forum (as of date of data extraction). He has an outgoing network of 403 distinct users, having awarded them 1087 sMerits over 738 Transactions. The average per Transaction is of 1,47 sMerits, although the awarding has a variance of 1,1 sMerits giving us a Coefficient of Variation of 74%.

    Paxmao is next in line, with an outgoing network of 363 distinct users, having awarded them 571 sMerits over 519 Transactions. The average per Transaction is of 1,1 sMerits, with a variance of 0,39 sMerits giving us a Coefficient of Variation of 35%.

    This means that Paxmao tends to award an amount of sMerit nearer to his average than Suchmoon. This is neither good nor bad, but the Coefficient of Variation could be meaningful in some scenarios in general.

    And so on..



    2. Section/Subsection Perspective

    A section/subsection perspective allows us to see the same output of information as above, but filtered specifically to the section/subsection being analysed (aggregates of data are only those related to the specific section/subsection being treated).
    The graphs themselves are not too enlightening, but the data table at the base shows us the goodies.
    I'll spare the visual pain of seeing local scrolling lists here, but all the data charted can be retrieved from the full list here (second tab) :Google Drive sMerit Outgoing Network 20180516)


    2.1. Alternate Cryptocurrencies


    Vapourminer has the largest outward sMerit Network, with 64 Users in his network on the Mining Altcoins board.

    If we needed sMerit sources on the Mining (Altcoin) section/subsection, there are 11 candidates with an outward sMerit Network greater or equal to 10 users, so finding one there is difficult due to lack of candidates. Nevertheless, perhaps candidates with a smaller network in the section/subsection, but a large overall one could be shifted to Merit here as a source.

    All other sections/subsections are similar except for Ann Altcoins, where there are 45 candidates with a network above 10 users.


    2.2. Bitcoin


    Project Development has only two native candidates, since all the remaining users have a network that is less or equal to 6 users.
    Bitcoin Technical Support is also rather scarce, with only 10 candidates with a network greater o equal to 10 users. Mining has one more candidate above this threshold.
    Development & Technical Discussion and Bitcoin Discussion are better off with easy two digit network candidates.



    2.3. Economy


    Trading Discussion is a bit scarce, but holds 18 candidates with a network greater or equal to 10 users. Marketplace and economics have plenty of candidates above the 10 user network threshold.


    2.4. Other

    Meta seems well served with candidates. Beginners & Help has just over a dozen above the 10 user network threshold.
    On the other hand, politics & Society, and off-topic are rather scarce with candidates, with less than a handful at most.
    Archival and Serious Discussion probably don’t need candidates.


    2.5. Local Boards


    Half the Local boards are a sore sight in terms of candidates. Moving the minimum size threshold further down gives more options, but lower than a network size of 7 or 8 is maybe dangerous terrain due to farms.
    Russian, Turkish, Indonesian and Turkish local boards seem to have enough candidates if needed.
    Some seem impossible using a sMerit Network criteria, such as the Indian board. If it’s moderated, perhaps the mod could do this job too.
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