I'm assuming you are referring to the US SEC about their decisions on Bitcoin ETF? when you say American State if not then why mentioned them? Crypto is global and US is just one piece of the puzzle.
Your first option is what we call a bubble, last year really different, bitcoin went as high as $19K. So yes, probably we are just consolidating, however, you have to understand what the cause of the free fall. There are governments and central banks around the world who take anti-crypto stance causing the price to plummet. Second, we might get to see crypto recovery again, but it will take some time because smart investors are not willing to enter the market yet. You just have to stick and remain in the ecosystem and wait till the price goes on a bullish trend. Might not be this year, but it will definitely come.