Sure there is a bit of a presumption of lump sum with that hodl camp chart, since each time you look at an entry date for a supposed BTC purchase, then you are able to see how that specific purchase did with the passage of time.
There likely is nothing wrong with having information about how purchases that we made on specific dates might play out with the passage of time, yet frequently, with the passage of time, we are likely going to end up with a variety of purchases with various costs and various amounts of BTC purchased, so the total quantity of BTC that we have is going to have various ways to assess how the totality might compare to the various individual parts (purchases) that might have taken place at various prices along the way.. and then what quantity of BTC did I choose to buy on the various dates.
There could be reasons that any of us might consider our BTC holdings in terms of a narrow number of purchases as compared with assessing our overall BTC portfolio costs and how many BTC that we have right now and what might be the value of the total of our BTC holdings in light of goals that we might have in regards to when we might consider starting to sell some of it.. or creating a plan in which we might sell certain amounts of our holdings based on current BTC prices (presumably selling on the way up rather than selling on the way down) or if we might choose to sell certain amounts of BTC based on time considerations.. so for example if we were to decide to start to sell 4% of our BTC holdings every year, then maybe we might consider that each quarter we might have a goal to sell 1% of our BTC holdings... yet we might not want to begin such selling of our BTC until we have first determined that we have enough BTC or more than enough BTC, and I doubt that our determination of whether we have enough or more than enough BTC would be based on merely our buying of certain slivers of our BTC stash on certain dates at various historical points.
To accumulate BTC you have to start from somewhere and then with passage of time one can derive his own strategy of how to accumulate specific number of BTC. If you have enough cash then one can go aggressive on accumulating Bitcoin but those who don't have enough cash and can't go aggressive can accumulate Bitcoins on dips.
I agree with the first part of your statement, which is that the better your cash reserves and cash backups the more aggressive you can be in terms of accumulating bitcoin, yet at the same time, you gotta be careful in your potentially causing delays for guys to get started investing into bitcoin, especially no coiners. The main requirement to invest into bitcoin is having discretionary income, there is no requirement to have cash reserves at all.
Sure, let's attempt to get practical. There are likely a whole hell of a lot of people who have only 2-4 weeks worth of cash to deal with any shortages that they might have in their income or to deal with unexpected expenses that they might have, and sure if they are new to investing into bitcoin, then they likely are going to need to build up their backup funds to be larger than 2-4 weeks, yet they can build up their back up funds at the same rate that they are investing into bitcoin... so they may well be able to invest2-4 weeks of their expenses into bitcoin to match their back up funds and then build their bitcoin and their back up funds at the same rate until they get to at least 3 months of emergency funds plus some other 2-4 weeks additionally for their usual customary extra cushion of cash.. so just getting to 3 months of emergency funds and 3 months invested into bitcoin could take a decently long time to get to that level, and then perhaps they could start to increase their investment into bitcoin to higher levels after they have established at least their emergency funds to higher levels, but I am not suggesting at all that anyone with discretionary income should be delaying in their getting started investing in bitcoin, even if they might need to simultaneously take measures to get their cashflow management situation into a stronger status.
Regarding your bullshit proclamation that those who are not able to go aggressive should be setting up systems to buy on dips, that is a really dumb plan, especially for no coiners and/or low coiners.
The best strategy for no coiners, low coiners and those who are not in a very strong position to be aggressive is to DCA while they are getting their cashflow into a better situation that they are able to be more aggressive later. And even when they get their cashflow into a better strength, they still likely should not be deviating from DCA until perhaps some later point where they have already accumulated a decent amount of BTC and/or perhaps they had engaged in a decent amount of front-loading their BTC investment. I consider buying on dips to be a strategy that is more beneficial to guys who have already accumulated a lot of BTC, otherwise everyone should be buying right away and at any price and until they get to a point that they are accumulating a decent amount of BTC, and then once they reach a higher accumulation strategy, then at that point buying dips might become more reasonable for their luxurious situation.. . ..
In other words, waiting is not a good strategy for anyone who is a no coiner or low coiner, and buying on dips is a waiting strategy, and the overwhelming majority of the world's population is either no coiners or low coiners, whether they realize it or not.
The only limitation with buying on dips is that we don't when it's the start of the dip and when it's the bottom. There might be cases when we buying assuming that this is the bottom but price keep on falling. There are ways to mitigate this risk like not to buy at one price rather buy in chunks.
Even for yourself, if we go by your forum registration date MusaPk, you have only been in bitcoin for around 2 years. So you believe that you are advantaged by fucking around waiting for dips that may or may not happen?
You presume that you already have enough BTC or more than enough BTC to be prepared for UP? Based on my earlier interactions with you, I have my doubts in any claims that you might make about having enough or that buying dips is a good strategy for you.. but hey whatever, you know your situation better than anyone else, including this here cat.
The difference between spot price and 200 WMA will increase further as spot price of Bitcoin has gone up to 76k at the moment.
Ok. .. and how are you using that? You are wanting to use that information in regards to changing your levels of aggressiveness in your BTC accumulation? I personally doubt it is a good idea for anyone to be changing their levels of aggressiveness in their BTC accumulation based on BTC prices in their first whole cycle unless maybe they had purposefully engaged in some front loading of their investment, yet as a general principle, it seems that most folks should be getting through their first 4 years of BTC accumulation through DCA and persistent, consistent and ongoing BTC buying, yet sure, each person is entitled to tailorize his own strategy if he believes that some other way of accumulating bitcoin is better... such as waiting for dips that may or may not come.
