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November 19, 2011, 06:51:46 PM |
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So I've been silent for 3 hours researching these Top 100 wallets: Here's what I've got so far
There are 49 addresses that were on both Nov 12, 2011 & July 29, 2011 lists that 10,000+ coins on Nov 12, 2011.
I've been focusing on these addresses which, as of Nov 12, 2011, have 961k bitcoins. (about 1/7.7th or approx 12% of existing coins).
Some things to note:
- 12 addresses (each with 10,000 exactly) performed consolidation/movement amongs similar addresses on May 4, 2011 and December 19, 2011 leading me to believe this is the same person.
- 2 other addresses (each with 10,000 exactly) did the same thing on April 2, 2011, leading me to believe this is the same person.
- 2 other addresses (one with 15k & the other with 20k) moved coins on July 1, 2011 & Sept 7, 2011, leading me to believe this is the same person.
This means these 49 addresses likely represent less than 36 people (could be less).
I would only classify 2 of these addresses as "active" meaning these addresses are continually trading coins so that it's too difficult to put a single date on when they've "acquired" their coins and started hoarding/saving.
All the rest of the addresses acquired most of their coins by one or two dates and are sitting around hoarding/saving. To be fair, with this many coins, I'm not sure how many products/services can be purchased for 10,000+ coins. I don't think car dealers are accepting bitcoins yet and I haven't found too many sites with actual large screen tv's ($5,000+) available.
Of the remaining 31 addresses, 8 have been hoarding/saving 152k bitcoins since some date in 2010.
Of the remaining 23 addresses, 12 have been hoarding/saving 300k bitcoins since between January and May 2011. (note this includes one 53k address that cycled through a few single addresses several times leading back to a miner/buyer from between Jan/Mar 2011 who I'm assuming is the same person moving money around in June 2011)
Of the remaining 11 addresses, 8 have been hoarding/saving 204k bitcoins since June 2011.
The remaining 3 addresses have acquired 135k bitcoins after June 2011 and before Nov 12, 2011.
I think this shows that while there are some accounts with large amounts of hoarded coins from back in 2010, that it's not everyone. There are large players that likely entered the marketplace after June or during June of this year.
The top 100 list has represented 2 million bitcoins consistently since July 29, 2011. We'll want to watch this list to see if it changes hands, even though this could just be people splitting up their wallets like the 16 addresses in this list. I don't see anything too alarming.
Next, I'll research the other 25 "new" addresses on Nov 12, 2011 with 10,000+ coins (total of 1,065,960 bitcoins or about 14% of existing coins) which weren't on the July 29, 2011 listing.
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