you shouldn't worry too much about what may or may not happen a 140 years from now since that is one and a half generation away from today! not to mention that with the way bitcoin is going, so far despite the huge decrease in the amount of block reward (from 50 down to 6.25) both hashrate and difficulty have grown to ridiculously higher values while miners are making millions of percentages more money compared to when the reward was 50!
This is solely happening because of the increase of bitcoin price right?
And what you stated is the increase from the past to the present but it still won't change the profitability of mining bitcoin and the fact that some miners have stopped mining because they can't get decent profit anymore.
Anyway, it's just a curiosity, and getting a satisfying answer will definitely stop me from asking the same question again. I won't make it until 140 years later for sure.
Difficulty will decrease if people quit mining. This will then make it more profitable for those that are still mining, or start back up. At least until the next difficulty change ...
Energy costs less now.
ed: Ah, I should have said electricity. Too much crowing about my VDE and the 10% dividend yield @ $33 purchase price. Anyway, since difficulty adjustment is in 20 hours it is probable that difficulty won't fall as much as it should as this will be some 50-50 split of 12.5 and 6.25 blocks ... then what? Slower blocks, with transaction fees going up quite a bit, which in theory should compensate for some of this loss.
This may well be
Triggering, causing ppl to rage sell their bitcoin & drop the price. That could drop off more miners, making the blocks even slower, and increasing fees even more. Ponder it under the tree of woe, just as I have pondered the delay of the release of the New New Warriors, featuring Trailblazer, Safespace, Snowflake, some emo vampire sir, and Screentime (poor fella was exposed to way too much experimental internet gas as a kid).