If they can build up an effective and productive tool to automatically track crypto (bitcoin first) transactions to owners, IPs, etc. they will do this for all bitcoin transactions. Bitcoin block data is available for all of us and it only requires advanced skills from tech gurus to dig deeper to find more things that can be supported by their own bitcoin full nodes.
The problem is the way they try to take these advanced skills and use them against our own privacy. Like, it's taking a very smooth focus turn from criminals to literally everyone else.
I usually throw away all unnecessary physical information about my wallets such as paper wallets the same way I throw away unnecessary bills when paying with fiat anywhere - which basically means that, while there's a permanent record on the Blockchain of all my txs, there's no way even I can link txs from months/years ago to the real events during which I have broadcasted them.
Through this crypto tracking tool, they'd probably get to a point where addresses their tool won't have any clue about will be flagged as a "suspicious" - as in, sources of funds are unknown. What is quite creepy is that, by the effort of "improving compliance", they're doing exactly the opposite of what mixers do - does this mean crypto privacy will become an enemy of the state? The blockchain is publicly available, but in order to analyze or track cryptocurrency addresses, you have to spend quite a lot of resources the average Joe doesn't have.