- Money will still slosh around these assets. Most money will still be in assets rather than currency (as is currently the case)
- We are back at square one
Thoughts?
If you could choose to store value when you are not using it in either a depreciating currency or an appreciating asset, which would you choose?
It seems the logical answer is to store it in an appreciating asset. If that's so, then why do people store any value at all in cash or cash equivalents such as checking or savings accounts? I suspect it's due to a need for liquidity and the friction and costs associated with moving value from an appreciating asset to the currency when they need/want to use some of that value for a product or service. There are both costs and delays involved. Therefore, people hold some of their value in cash, and then replenish that from an asset when the cash balance runs low. If I want to fill my fuel tank with gasoline, I can't spend my real estate, or my precious metals, or my fine art, or my stocks, etc.
However, imagine an appreciating asset that can be spent as cheaply and as easily as cash. No need to sell off a $100,000 painting when you want to add $100 of fuel to your car (and then figure out what asset to put the remaining $99,000 into). Instead, just rip off a $100 corner of the painting, and hand it to the gas station attendant. Ok, that isn't going to work with fine art. But, how about with an appreciating asset such as Bitcoin. No need to sell an entire $35,000 bitcoin, just send the fuel company $100 worth of your bitcoin and move on.
One big reason that crypto is so amazing and is likely to eventually become mainstream is BECAUSE the preference for most individuals is for most money to be in assets, and having all the value that would have been in cash in crypto such as Bitcoin instead allows the individual to keep more value in assets while avoiding the costs and delays involved with other asset classes.
Once everyone is storing all the value for their short term needs/wants in Bitcoin, and most merchants are accepting Bitcoin as payment for products and services, there is no longer much need for cash as a currency any longer. We aren't back at square one. We've moved on to square two where the depreciating currency is abandoned by most people for most purposes, and is replaced with an appreciating asseet that can be used as a currency just as easily.