If you understand difficulty retarget, you will not say this.

Difficulty retarget helps to adjust difficulty to fit it with network hash rate that is computational power of the Bitcoin network to mine new blocks. Block time within 2016 blocks can be longer or shorter than 10 minutes * 2016 blocks because the average block time within 2016 blocks can be lower or higher than 10 minutes.

In this context, it is for a long interval from now till a halving block and average block time for a long interval will still be around 10 minutes. I used 9 minutes and 11 minutes because of this reason.

Like you can not say one block can be found a few second after a previous block, it is true but it does not affect estimated time for a next halving too much. Because in average, block time is about 10 minutes.

https://blockchair.com/bitcoin
24h statistics:
Avg. time between blocks: 9 minutes 13 seconds

A chart for Average time between Bitcoin blocks (in seconds) https://blockchair.com/bitcoin/charts/average-block-interval
You can see it in 1M, 6M, 1Y, average block time is fluctuating around 600 to less than 700 seconds.


Last 3 years
https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/bitcoin-confirmationtime.html#3y

a lot of people are anticipating the halving event and for some they need the estimated date to know when to make the most profit i agree with you though after halving it’s gonna be followed by a rise in the market the most important thing to know is that halving is near and we should all acquire btc as soon as now

Alright thanks for the difficulty explanation.

I think you might be missing my point, the difficulty and the hash rate plays a role in the date and without having an exact figure for this two all dates will just be mere estimations because it will vary even if it is for at least two weeks. What I was saying is the best way to calculate the exact date for halving is by counting down the 210,000 blocks needed to be mined before it happens. If you look at other estimators by sites like Coincegko, Binance Academy, BitcoinBlockhalving, Coinmarketcap and others, you will see that they are constantly adjusting the date almost every 2 weeks based on average 2016 block time.

So I still stand that the 9, 10, 11 minutes timers you used won’t give us an accurate countdown so as any number used by all Those sites, the only accurate countdown is, it happens after 210, 000 blocks are mined.

I did not think that a single minute up or down could make that much difference between the halving dates, but thanks for sharing this information it was refreshing. This information is more valuable for the miners who will be more affected by halving. We will also be affected due to the rise in fees but I think the increase in prices of fees comes early for us than the time we have anticipated.

I will keep an eye on this calculator and will try to make a good analysis out of it if there is any way to make one understand the nature of the fee but till then there are many blocks that goes without any transaction in them for example with zero transaction, what they have to do with having time or calculators like these. Check the block 817214.

Those calculators won't be able to tell us an exact date about Bitcoin's next halving but they will continue to give us estimated dates based on the calculations. I believe that next halving is going to occur during 2024 and if we see the yearly thing then there is no need to go with the exact date. By the way after halving it will still take Bitcoin sometime to go to it's ATH and that's why the halving is just an indicator for that upcoming ATH that we all want to see.

Counting down blocks till block 840,000 is not calculate halving date and time. A block for halving is set and we all know that. We only don't know when that block will be mined by Bitcoin miners. This post does not make any sense.

Estimate to have estimated halving time does not to have accurate estimated halving time. Do you know what estimate means?

You are missing between block countdown and time countdown.

Even the site writes it

My thread writes that I shared it not because it gives accurate estimated halving time, but because it is the only site I know that you can enter a block time (average block time of rest blocks till the halving) for estimated halving time.

How does this halving significantly affect the market? Even though I kept track of the halving date, I don't think it's necessary since, based on trends, the bull run usually happens after the halving. So, this halving schedule is just a reminder that we should gradually accumulate Bitcoin to ensure we don't miss out on the bull run.

I just look at this one from Binance

https://www.binance.com/en/events/bitcoin-halving