The BTC Scale Law model (or power law model) is the true BTC price model that has been right for 15 years. It predicts a top of the cycle of 2x the nominal value of $125,000 (trendline value). So in a bullish scenario, we have $250,000. Actually, Plan B is cheating a bit and readjusting the parameters of his model to give $500,000, if he kept the same parameters in his original article the next top will be $1000,000. The Power Law model is more conservative and it accounts for the tapering off of the price with time.

Like how can people be too dependent on speculations, there's never a time the price of Bitcoin will just skyrocket to it's ATH overnight as it takes gradual process for it to attain a speculated ATH but not withstanding, Investors needs not to be too focused on speculations. Bitcoin over the years, have maintained it's volatility and of which we have observed it's price movement for sometime now and it is expected that the price will skyrocket soon, so it will be nice to see Bitcoin reach its speculated ATH but we shouldn't be too desperate about it.

$500k for 2024-25 bull run? Not possible. The best Bitcoin will go is to touch $200k and my realistic goal (which I have already posted many times) is $179k.
If someone bought the Bitcoin at the $17k price, he or she will be easily able to make a 10x on their actual cost without worrying about any shitcoin etc.
Easiest bet of my Life I would say

Because every time someone says that Bitcoin is dead, Bitcoin becomes more and more alive, and that's what I noticed, and for sure, the person who said that also knew that. I just don't really know what the purpose is or why they say that.

When you bought Bitcoin for around 400$, how many bitcoins were bought at that time in 2015? At that time, because I was new to crypto, I even borrowed money to buy Bitcoin, but no one gave me a loan at that time either. If you had money at that time and you bought at least 2 or 3 bitcoins and you held it until now, for sure the size of your income.

Please take a look at this model.
It has 3 components:

1) Power Law in time 2) sinusoidal oscillations with period 4 years (the first bubble is not modeled because probably due to MtGox and it is not associated with halvings) 3) exponential decay of the peaks over time.

The model does a very good job of following closely the bottoms (almost perfectly) and it can model most of the behavior of the price during the bubbles. The next bubble top should be close to $200K but it depends if we see a continuation of the decay we observed in previous cycles.

I extrapolated the model up to 2033 when the prediction is that BTC will reach 1 M.

https://twitter.com/Giovann35084111/status/1746235708959060220/photo/1

I don't know for you, but for me missing the final target by 30+% is a lot. I have seen way more accurate predictions without using his model, which is nice if you want to play with it but I would never take it seriously. And if he's saying $500k and it reaches $300k (which I don't think it'll happen), would you say that that at the end it was pretty accurate? $200k of difference, is that accurate?

You’ll eventually think of selling if you think of short term term profits. But we all know the more we hold for longer years, the bigger the profits we will gain so I think buying and hodling are still the keys. People may have criticized bitcoin’s high volatility but because of that, even our craziest and the most impossible predictions turn out into reality so instead of criticizing it negatively, it turns out to be a big opportunity for us in the crypto market.

Crypto experts and influencers may have come up with various price predictions and it’s also how they envision bitcoin price in the future. But it never guarantees that those will most likely what bitcoin will be. Bitcoin is certainly mysterious and unpredictable, and we’ll only know if it’s really capable to reach those prices when we’ll get there eventually.

The flaw in PlanB's theory is his presumption that merely because Bitcoin has a halving every four years, then the price must increase by some percentage without considering the market demand for Bitcoin. There are many altcoins that have their own halvings but they never follow PlanB's graph according to his hypthosesis.

If he was right, then all coins with inflation halvings every four years should follow the same trajectory like Bitcoin.

Even still many people think that Bitcoin is a scam coin so don't expect positive comment all of those people. In 2015, 2019 and 2024 those people have been proven wrong.
But i don't want to hope Bitcoin will hit $532K after 2024 halving, It seems 13 times higher from the current price I think it's not realistic.

Yes, the end of the year is still too far away, but it won't feel very long. Investors know that the price of bitcoin will rise, but unfortunately, they will not know when the price will reach $50k, whether it will happen this month or in the following months.
But they are still preparing for another high price and are already buying and holding their bitcoins.
Moreover, there will be a halving moment coming soon. Even though many things will happen during the halving, it will not worry investors, especially strong-armed investors.
They will continue to hold bitcoin firmly until the price reaches the target selling price, and then they will sell their bitcoin.