[edited out]
Apologies, I was suppose to say no ATH this year not next year, how on earth am I suppose to know that there won't be a new ATH for the whole of next year 2025 that have 12 months, with 365 days?
I was just going by what you said rather than what you might have had meant to say.
You have a history of making bearish and pessimistic statements, so it seemed logical to me that you might have had meant to say what you had written.
No way, for next year it is certain that it must surely happen and as for my previous post which I have corrected, it was a mistake. And you remembered when I told you that as Bitcoin price is slowly dropping that we are not going to see Bitcoin give us a new ATH this year until next year that's when it will happen.
Well that makes sense, even though surely there are quite a few things that could happen, even though surely any of us might come up with some ideas of what we consider to be more likely or less likely to happen.
So, yeah, there is ONLY right around 6.5 weeks left in the calendar year, so it could be difficult to get back up to $126k (which is about a 30% increase from here), even though it is not impossible, it just seems harder to imagine such a break out given the battles that have already been happening.. yet I have also come to learn to stay flexible in my own expectations, since for example, if we were to get a sudden supra 10% upwards move then (like back up to the $106K price arena), then we might end up rethinking what we consider to be possible based on that kind of a move.. . but yeah, sometimes even a quick move in one direction or another might not end up sticking in that price arena until it does end up getting stuck there.
So, yeah, there is a reasonable scenario that there could end up playing out a bit of a price battle that could even range between $85k and $108k through the remaining of the calendar year, and then even the same battle might drag out several weeks or even months into the beginning of 2026 before it ends up breaking to the upside.... yet sure, the break out could be to the upside or to the downside.
I would think that if we were to break out to the upside within such a scenario, then that means we had never left the bull market, yet if we were to break out to the downside within such a scenario, then it may well signal (or confirm) that we had transitioned into a bear market (counting from the October 6th top). .. but yeah, we don't necessarily know the various legs in advance even though each leg likely has some probabilities, but then if we get that leg to play out then the probabilities end up changing from where that leg had taken us.. so in that regard, I personally end up getting stuck at 50/50 for much of the time in terms of each leg and my own reluctance to try to even venture too far (or too much certainty) in regards to what subsequent legs might end up being until after we get through a precedent leg, first.
Double JG I was wrong last year doesn't mean I'll be forever,
Hahahahaha...
Maybe that means you are learning? perhaps? Guys do not change in their ways so quickly. You had shown yourself to be quite a scared-dee-cat, and I am sure that such a mindset ended up prejudicing you in your own level of bitcoin accumulation and/or preparations for UP... so sure, in the end, each of us has to suffer the consequences of our own mistakes, whether we end up employing too whimpy or too aggressive approaches in our bitcoin accumulation, and hopefully we figure out ways to learn from our mistakes and make tweaks to our ways.. .. and it tends to not be so common that guys are going to greatly change all at once.. so it takes any of us some time to figure out an approach that works and sometimes even guys who have historically been whimpy in regards to bitcoin (or traded bitcoin rather than investing into it).. so sometimes guys who sell too early or are overly whimpy in their accumulation, they may well end up continuing to wait and expect down prices to attempt to make up for their earlier mistakes, and they end up continuing to make the same mistake based on some of the psychological barriers that they had created for themselves in the first place.
Sure, it is possible that you are not one of those guys with psychological and financial damage that is holding you back from your bitcoin accumulation and your ongoing preparation for up.. Sure.. anything is possible. I don't expect to know, find out or verify, since these kinds of talking about bitcoin prices threads are not necessarily based ONLY on what individuals are doing or not doing... since we are all likely attempting to learn through our forum post interactions.
if I fail today or my prediction didn't go as said it doesn't mean the next day will be like the previous day. Bitcoin price movement is very tricky which we all know that's why many persons don't know when it will start dropping or getting back to it's feet,
There are still approaches to bitcoin that are somewhat price agnostic. I personally suggest that newbies try to minimize their concerns about prices and to merely buy bitcoin consistently, persistently, regularly, ongoingly and perhaps even aggressively.. yet at the same time, sure, each guy has to figure out what and/or how they are going to do what they are going to do, since each person is ultimately responsible for his own actions and/or inactions.. and sure, maybe there are times that persistent accumulation of bitcoin might not have had worked out very well, yet I also consider that if guys are coming to bitcoin with an investment perspective, then they likely should reasonably be able to establish a 4-10 year or longer timeline for their investment so then they should not be motivated so much about short term bTC price moves as long as they figured that there are good chances that they will be in a better position in the longer term by investing into bitcoin rather than not investing into bitcoin, and yeah, it can take guys a while before they really are able to get themselves into a bitcoin investor (rather than trader) mindset.
it is normal for these things to happen in the crypto space.
Hopefully, you are not fucking around with shitcoins.
I am ONLY talking about bitcoin, so fuck shitcoins.
For me I won't like BTC to drop to $80k to start with, not to talk of $70k so I'm waiting for it to stay between $100k-$115k, just maintaining that 6 digits.
You cannot stop bitcoin from dropping, and if you are still fairly new to bitcoin, then why should you give very many shits if the BTC price drops rather than going up from here? Yeah, sure some guys might lose confidence in bitcoin if it were to drop into the $70ks or even $80ks, but still.. you are still fairly new in your bitcoin journey, even if you have been registered on the forum for 3 years.. you have already admitted to your earlier whimpy approach in your bitcoin accumulation.. so you likely still have a long time to continue to accumulate bitcoin.. but yeah, sure, I cannot get into your own mindset, goals, etc etc.. even though just based on your timeline and what you had admitted about yourself, any general investor would likely have to end up making up for prior whimpiness in regards to bitcoin, and surely with your own history, you may well be psychologically damaged from bitcoin's ongoing up during your time in bitcoin.. so there is a bit of a disadvantage in regards to getting into bitcoin and the price is just going mostly straight up during that time.. since we largely went from $16k to $126k and then back to our current prices of around $94k (as I type this post) in the past 3 years.
Also, yeah, I understand how you can become irritated by my seeming to assign too much on you personally, yet again these are public threads so I am not just talking about you, yet any guys who came to bitcoin with your same timeline, would have had likely suffered from BTC's price movement in the past 3-ish years, especially if they might not have had been ready, willing and/or able to front load their investment earlier in their bitcoin investment timeline.. and surely I understand that issue too, since most people do not tend to be in a psychological and/or financial position to be able to just aggressively jump into something like bitcoin since it sometimes can take time to really start to feel comfortable with it and to get some handle upon what bitcoin is as compared with other assets that might be available for investment to the person.
