I totally agree that its a major factor, but based on what Ive seen, and Im sure many would agree, the big pump really took off after Trump won the election. I think the biggest driver was the belief that regulatory measures under his administration would favor Bitcoin.
The ETFs were already in place, helping drive adoption, but the hype around those potential policies was what lit the fire for the pump. Sometimes its not just the fundamentals but the good news and optimism that fuel the market. So let's see where bitcoin will take us this bull run.
Bitcoin Spot ETF effects happen in many months, and it's not easy to forget that Bitcoin has 7 consecutive months with bullish green, from September 2023 to March 2024. [1]
[1]
https://cryptorank.io/price/bitcoin/analyticsTrump's effects, assume so, bring 37% increase in November 2024, but if looking back, in January 2023, it is +39.9%, and in a last bull run, 4 years ago, we have November 2020 (+42.9%) and December (+47.8%). There are Trump's effects, but I don't amplify it.