You do not need to worry by now. Just buy and hold it because the price will rise to at least to $150000. What you should be concerned about is 2026 if the price will fall or not. We do not know yet how bitcoin strategic reserve will make the price be during that time. Normally 2026 supposed to be a bear market time but we do not know if the bitcoin strategic reserve will make it be otherwise or not.

to first know how it can drop dramatically, you need to also look into why it doesnt..

basic economics.. if the most efficient mining cost on the planet was say $60k.. no one can get bitcoin for less, so no one would want to sell bitcoin for less as that is then a loss..
so with the speculation above $60k shows people right now hare happy to pay ~$100k on the public markets. if the speculation/demand dried up people would give up selling coin to the $60k mark and the speculation would begin again to raise the price

at this moment the pacific islands (japan, hawaii and such) have high electric cost thus high mining cost ($350k/btc) so they ar very happy to market speculate and buy coin at just $100k(3.5x discount, so very happy), thus support the buy pressure..
the cheapest mining cost on the planet is ~$60k and thus sets the bottom support level..
and everyone else has varying cost/value sentiments in the middle, and so that is why there is a large spread in the speculative window of possible volatility at any given time.. (this season the price can swing between $60k-$350k, (but is steadily playing around the $100k mark right now))

so then you can ask why would the price want to or need to drop to the bottom
the reason: market correction after a sudden pump/rise/spike

then you can ask how could we drop the most efficient mining cost or make it so even miners would sell at a loss to break the bottom and go lower quickly
the reasons..
the code bugs out and makes bitcoin break its economics
the mining cost of hardware or electric gets cheaper by some other efficiency reason
the hashrate drops via less miners, where it becomes cheaper to mine for the remaining miners due to less competition

there is scenarios where by all the miners that are mining at a cost of $60k-$90k would drop off from mining when the market goes down. this means the remaining miners at a previous $60k cost get more sats per block so they are then averaging like $30k per coin cost which can then allow for the market to fall to $30k..

but this would require the market speculation to dry up where the amount of buyer are not trying to support and raise the price, but instead are selling in fear and dropping the price
..
now here is a thing about the "bottom" being well supported and how its not easy to just drop the bottom..

many asic farms dont pay bills per month. instead they buy electric unit contracts that cover 1-2years of constant power. so there is no point in switching hardware off. so they have a fixed cost over 1-2 years so they end up supporting a minimum hashpower baseline of competition.. bitcoin code would need to severely and long term/permanently break to cause the mass asic farms to switch off and cause the step down of the "bottom" to cause significant price drop

..
all you need to know is (as said) while no bug is breaking bitcoin, this season the market can swing between $60k-$350k so expect that when it gets near the premium there is then more room for a larger correction back down to value (the higher it rises the bigger the fall)

whilst there is no bug breaking bitcoin. periodically/seasonally the speculative value-premium window will move up. whereby for instance as of summer and winter the $60k minimum is no longer $60k but a higher number. and the $350k possible premium is no longer $350k but even higher...

but..
if there was a bug or something significant happening to the underlying mining cost which can impact the speculative window of value-premium to drop. then the market could significantly drop

By the word it say Bitcoin movement is unpredictable that already a great indicator that no one could accurately say on when Bitcoin would drop. If you are doubting to accumulate now  listen to your self since that indicate that you are not ready to invest on Bitcoin.

Better do some research first and try to learn more information about this coin.

Anyways try to read this https://cointelegraph.com/learn/articles/day-trading-vs-long-term-cryptocurrency-hodling-benefits-and-drawbacks Maybe you could get some knowledge which is useful for your future investment or trades.

I have studied how Bitcoin does dramatically drop, and the numbers are stunning. The first Big Bull market went from $1 to over $32 very quickly and when the crash came it eventually bottomed at almost exactly $2! Every other big rise has been followed by a Huge fall. How and why people enjoy blindness to this reality (ie HODL!) is hard for me to understand, but their losses create gains for good traders.

Fiat money and the global debt bubble are much worse than a few years ago, so those fundamentals should help Bitcoin resume the rally ASAP! 

Bitcoin price drop shouldn't be something to worry about because it will surely rebounce. It is when you sell during a price drop and you bought higher than that price that you will be in loss, but if you don't sell a dime, you are not in loss. The odd of bitcoin price going up overtime is higher than the price going down. This means that it's easy for bitcoin to reach $1m, than going to zero.

Are you looking for a way bitcoin will crash or your should be focusing on how you can get as much as you can before different nations and institution start competing who will have the highest bitcoin reserve? I feel that your question is coated in fear and anxiety which is something you should not allow to thrive else you might miss the opportunity of owning bitcoin. For your information, the price of bitcoin does not continue in one direction only, it fluctuates but even if it drops, it will always recover. This is the reason why you should not be afraid of buying bitcoin whenever you have the opporunity because it has proven to be a reliable investment over the years.

Anyone who knows about the four-year cycle of Bitcoin expects that Bitcoin price will dramatically drop after its peak this year.  Since when Bitcoin reached its peak price this year, the market history tells that a transition from bull market to bear market is inevitable.  And during this bear market, history shows that the price of Bitcoin dramatically dropped to more than 50% of the peak price (ATH).

If you are holding and wanted to avoid an important loss, you can either cash out before the bear market begins or just keep  holding and wait for the bear market to transition to bullish market and sell when it started recording new ATH.

no offense to anyone here, but people are so stupid for thinking that 4 year cycles will continue on forever. BTC is still in its infancy. I wouldn't even call it "Early adoption" stage. we're not even there yet.

once BTC has the backing of the UNITED STATES of AMERICA for the first time, this will ignite an arms race to acquire as many BTC as possible as quickly as possible.

I hope Trump, or the federal government doesn't actually buy any more BTC. just hold the Silk Road coins. then, let the STATES acquire with their own budgets. this will finally demonstrate the fiscal/monetary competencies between blue and red states. at the same time, we will see other nation states purchase BTC....as well as institutions.  

BTC halving will no longer have a material impact to price since obviously most coins are already mined. prices will be dictated purely by supply and demand. and in the short term (2025), we will see some wild swings with whales selling, other whales buying, but prices will normalize at a much higher level than it is today. I dont know if this is $150k, $250k, $1M, or $5M, but it will be very high very soon.

we will see some volatility like all asset classes do, but it won't be +/- 10% daily swings, nor will it be +/- 50% annual swings. we will grow exponentially the next few years, and perhaps a small step function graph in halving years, but in-between, I see consistent and stable upwards movement

the difference is that the president of the United States now supports BTC. this is different from 4 years ago, objectively. I dont really care to debate this since I'll just buy more if I'm wrong and it does dip. so its win win for me