Imagine AI that feeds into every corner of a conversation, making decentralized networks of users start to feel consensus that isnt organically built but crafted by unseen actors. This is not about convincing a few. It's about creating an invisible feedback loop capable of bending internal decisions.[...]
But we cant afford to underestimate the long-term effect of a strategy that doesnt need to convert developers directly. It just needs to convince sufficient members of the ecosystem that it is "the way to go". Thats where AIs true threat lies: it amplifies ideas and shifts dynamics quietly.
Of course we should not underestimate the potential. But many different actors will have to cope with that problem. Humans adapt to new threats. We have already adapted to X bots, many people can now distinguish real conversations from fake content.
If AI advances into the direction of ARA (agent replication) and tries to use this technique for "consensus manipulation", this will not be limited to Bitcoin but to all discussions and conflicts we have all over the Internet (the offline world, at first, wont be that much affected). We will have to develop strategies to distinguish them from human contributions as well, because otherwise we would be overwhelmed with the AI noise emitted by different lobby/interest groups. Of course this will be more difficult, as it is well possible that an AI in a couple of years could successfully impersonate a human for several days up to weeks. But there are possible strategies to cope with that.
Centralized social network services will eventually probably resort to KYC-like strategies like face verification to not collapse to AI content. But fortunately that's not the only possible action to be taken. For decentralized networks, for example "pseudonym parties" are a possibility: people gathering offline exchanging their pseudonyms. It may be necessary to re-verify them regularly to prevent to many to give their pseudonyms to an AI, and not always it will be possible, but in general it should be a quite effective strategy against AI replication.
So Bitcoin can't be seen as isolated from the whole AI content problem. If humans can't cope with that, we will have worse problems than a Bitcoin developer decision influenced by AI.
I think also that in a world full of AI noise, the power of logical, plausible, fact-based arguments would increase. And if an AI software is able to deliver a new plausible and fact-based argument for a development decision, it should not be treated different than a human. We would perhaps even be able to make Bitcoin more secure with AI assistance.