I believe we are in the middle of a conflict.  On one hand, the Bitcoin chart is supposed and expected to launch.  And there are clear signs of that.  On the other hand, the situation world wide seems really bad economically.  I presume what happens is we simply wait and see what wins, whether it is Bitcoin or the crisis.

The thing is.  One of the reasons I am using Bitcoin is to run away from Fiat.  If Fiat drops down to the floor, it is of course a catastrophe but I would not mind it TOO much considering I do have what I consider to be a currency AND a safety from recessions.  If Fiat is doing bad and Bitcoin looks strong, to me at least Bitcoin is simply doing its job.

Does this mean Bitcoin will stay just as strong in the scenario of an economical catastrophe?  Maybe, but maybe not.  After all, a bad economy means people need money.  If the majority of us used Bitcoin as a currency and a commodity, it would be one thing.  But a lot of people put money in to Bitcoin hoping they become rich.  If they need money, they will sell.

We will see on how they'd give importance to the Bitcoin reserve and I think they're in the moment of accumulating more. But, are they going to buy with the current price of Bitcoin? I don't think so, they might send the price to go down before they purchase for the BTC reserve.

They need to have as much as they can and I think there was a plan to have more like reach a goal of 100k BTCs for 5 years.

I'm not sure with that but I think I've read somewhere that there's a senator that's pushing for that goal. So there is a connection for that due to the Bitcoin strategic reserve.

We know that Trump is essentially a businessman, and has a lot of experience in it, so I feel that what Trump is doing are steps with a specific purpose, and what we see is not actually the main course, especially since he also has experience in politics. So, I assume that there is something prepared by the United States, including implementing Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, and I believe this is all conceptualized, and it seems they will continue to maintain the value of their own fiat, while Bitcoin is a stepping stone (one that is used) for the purpose of realizing all of this. Well, these are all personal assumptions, and I could be wrong, but regarding Bitcoin, it will remain strong without having to wait for news, because we know that it is only a matter of time.

Additionally, the following news may be related, and there is a possibility that it will happen: US could use gold reserves to buy bitcoin, White House official says

He's got the impact for sure, but he wants BTC to be "US-made", so to speak - and to have the most of it, for the prestige and the future, I think.

Personally, I believe that bitcoin have beaten the US dollar because it's fiat and the opposite of bitcoin. It depreciates overtime while bitcoin increases overtime due to the decentralized nature and government manipulation. I believe that if there is weakness in the US dollar, investors will pull out their funds from the US dollar and put it into bitcoin which will increase the value of bitcoin. During recession people survive and some people will also get rich during recession, so buying bitcoin will still be a norm.

If there is a chain of bearish events on the overall market, I think BTC would react to it, short-term or mid-term.

But, surely, it will return to where it all started.

The thing to remember is that Trump has reasons for the tariffs, notably these and others:
1. Reciprocal free trade so it isn't a one-way street.  For example, Canada had tariffs on US goods such as Milk: 270% Cheese: 245% (TRQ applies), Butter: 298% (TRQ applies); Poultry (e.g., Chicken): 238%) before Trump took office.  If Canada wants free trade, it must be bilateral.  It isn't.
2. Stopping the free flow of fentanyl into the US via Mexico and Canada.
3. Stopping the free flow of people coming over the border illegally from Mexico and Canada.

If Canada (as an example, but it applies to every other country) really believes in free trade and doesn't want tariffs, the solution is easy:  stop the tariffs in the reverse. 

So the point is that if countries don't want tariffs on them, don't impose tariffs on US goods.  It is really quite simple and should be easy for even the most obtuse of people to understand.  And at that point, Trump will respond favorably and that will help the economy everywhere.  The spin that some news organizations puts on it does no one any favors if they want to have a good analysis of the situation.

It was Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis who proposed the bitcoin Act, selling gold to buy 1 million BTC within 5 years to create a strategic bitcoin reserve like gold. But all these were just her ideas, they were never proposed and presented to the US Congress. She never called on other MPs to support her ideas, she just put them forward in interviews. That means the US has no intention or plan for a strategic bitcoin reserve as many people mistakenly believe.

The US House of Representatives just passed three important bills related to cryptocurrencies but it is worth noting that all Democrats voted against them. That shows that politics in the United States is deeply divided, so we are unlikely to see strategic bitcoin reserves anytime soon. Even cryptocurrencies will be suppressed again if Democrats take over the White House in the next term.

The tariff has negatively affected the US economy because it is reducing investors' confidence. Nobody wants to invest in an unpredictable economy. The tariff war will also lead to inflation which is not good for the US economy.

Trump was not a successful businessman as some people claim. Companies under his control have filled for bankruptcy six times. And from his handling of the US economy,  it is obvious that he is not making the right decisions ..

Nobody got it wrong. Everyone just keeps acting like macro is a coin flip. Tariffs go up, stocks go down, bitcoin follows. Yeah, that is neat, until reality eats the script. Tariffs are a distraction. The manipulation is behind the curtain - central banks, deficit spending, the quiet draining of trust. Trump pushes for low rates, claims it is good for Main Street. Nobody asks why the dollar, the supposed world reserve, needs emergency life support in the best economy ever. You feel the contradiction right there.

Bitcoin does not care about your rate hikes or your QE or your trade war theatre. It runs block after block, zero manipulation, zero boardroom drama.

The US will not pivot to bitcoin reserves. Power hates competition. They will try to cage it, tax it, spin it in the name of reserve, but not embrace it. They will call it a risk, a criminal's tool (as they seize crime funds for their so called reserved), a climate threat, everything but a solution. It is too pure, too transparent. Not the kind of tool you can use for shadow budgets and invisible wars.

Bitcoin beating the dollar? By the time the damage shows, it is already done. People keep asking if the dollar is dying. They never ask if they are already living in the ruins.