It has been predicted that Bitcoin will stop moving upward for many years.  Yet here we are and Bitcoin is still taking people by complete surprise every time.

Bitcoin critics, they all suck. They just keep saying things without backing it up with any fact. Just a set of people with same very small of mindset.

They don't want to open up to what bitcoin has become. Actually, no body really cares about them any more, they can say what they want. Bitcoin will continue to prove them wrong.


Of course it will. Someone who has been with bitcoin for years would understand that we just completed a cycle, though it didn't end as expected. It may take a little while before continuing it's upward trend but definitely it will.

Welcome back. 

What we can tell is that it will definitely do something that's beyond our expectation. From the price, to massive adoption, and what else? to break those barriers that are in the market whether it is on its own or even the global scale that many have been doubting it until now. Sure, market will get saturated but we're seeing how it's making waves because of its nature of being volatile and limited supply. Happy new year everyone, keep HODLING.

The market barriers you are talking about are all in peoples minds.  we have now broken that 4-year cycle.  Now we have money coming in from places, like ETFs and that has changed the bottom line.  You are looking at Bitcoin like it is something that does not change.  If you think this is as high as Bitcoin can go then you are not seeing the picture.  Bitcoin does not get too full it just finds a starting point before something big happens and that proves people who do not believe in Bitcoin wrong again.  Welcome back, but dont let the "gap" turn into a permanent blind spot.

Good advise, Bitcoin is not predictable, it can change its regular pattern like we all know and begin a new cycle when we least expect it. Most people still believe that we have not seen Bitcoin halving while some think it has come and gone. We still don't know what the actual fact could be which makes Bitcoin a lot more fun but what is assured is that there would always be breaking of the previous ATH as we have seen that on the past sessions. The only difference could be the time it takes for the halving process which could be a bit different this time but we expect green candles in the nearest future.

Bitcoin has overcome all the critics and has always proven the unbelievers wrong every single time with a new ATH. Most people did not believe Bitcoin would go this far, they had wavering belief in Bitcoin and it's system but Bitcoin's existence is proof of a better future. Bitcoin is for the future, we may not see it now but sooner the results would speak.

OP: I think we're focusing solely on the price and not giving any substance to other thinks. It's like when people were talking about ETFs, the new president, Blackrock's arrival, and so on. It seems like 2026 is part of what I call the Harry Potter effect, the magic wand. Especially with this idea of ​​a new beginning. It really is a new year for all of us, and we intrinsically feel that it's always the starting point for everything (New year), but that's not the case for Bitcoin.

I don't want to disappoint you, but here's another fact, Bitcoin reached $69k in 2021, and compared to the 2025 ATH of $126k. Bitcoin has only increased by about 82% over the past four years, and this is not an attractive return for a risky asset. This shows that Bitcoin is very volatile and our profits will depend on the entry price. Additionally, don't forget the four-year cycle of the market, and if history repeats itself, next year will be a bear market.

Therefore, we shouldn't be overconfident and assume that simply buying Bitcoin at the beginning of the year will double our profits by year’s end. Bitcoin tends to appreciate in the long term, but its short and medium term movements are unpredictable.

Concepts are harder to kill than currencies and that is why bitcoin is so special, even if the price dropped to zero tomorrow the idea of a decentralized ledger is already out there in the wild and you cannot put that genie back in the bottle

I rarely see anyone make predictions that are even close to accurate, let alone completely accurate, about Bitcoin throughout the years I've been in the market.

I remember that during the 2021 cycle, most people believed it would reach $100k, but it actually only reached $69k. Similarly to this time, when the market was euphoric, everyone predicted it would reach $200k, $180k, and then drop to $150k. But in the end, none of those predictions came true.

Bitcoin is truly unpredictable, and all we can do is prepare for all scenarios and set long-term goals, avoiding getting caught up in short-term fluctuations.

2025 broke the 4-year cycle theory

First call:
Bitcoin updated its ATH in March 2024 ($73,600) a month before the halving, not after.
The 2024 halving reduced the emission while 94% of BTC had already been mined. Miner influence dropped to a historic low.
In 2025, a new BTC ATH was set at $126,000, followed by a deep pullback and a final negative price for the year.
This breaks the pattern of the post-halving year, when distribution occurs at new highs in December and euphoria reigns in the crypto market.

What will work in 2026: new patterns and models

1. Shift in focus: from cycle to regimes
Instead of asking "where are we in the 4-year cycle?"  In 2026, the question needs to be asked: "What mode is the market in now, and what will change it?"
2. Growth of alts across sectors and new narratives
3. There are too many L2s, and most will no longer be able to show positive dynamics and correlate with Ethereum
4. The flow of liquidity from CEX to on-chain (DEX/perp DEX) has accelerated. Pool earnings were among the most stable in 2025
5. Correlation with the stock market may return, but only during certain periods.