I reckon it's gonna be JD Vance and he will definitely loses as he doesn't have any charisma and he can't even pretend to have a backbone.
I bought the NO on JD Vance as well. It's absolutely impossible that Vance makes it. He's just there because people who don't know anything about how the GOP works today think it will be the VP. But he's in the process of being burned up by Trump.
If it wasn't Trump Jr., it will be Tucker Carlson or more likely Stephen Bannon--or some other guy like that.
I meant that Vance is going to be a candidate because he is automatically going to be a president after trump passes away.
Ah, okay. Yeah, that's always a chance. But if that happens, they still wouldn't let Vance win the nomination, I don't think.
Recall that Vance said nasty things about Trump before he was "converted". There's no chance Republican voters will ever forget that. He's somebody they see as a servant, not as somebody who could be in charge of anything.
At the point of selection, he has been a president for a while and rest of the party sees him as safest choice, because they don't have enough credible candidates that would be pro Trump. It's going to be "don't change horses in midstream" type of situation. People however don't like him and he loses the presidential race.
As Trump Sr. showed, the "safest choice" was to nominate Trump and not face Trump splitting the GOP vote. Trump Sr. absolutely threatened to do this--explicitly--and everybody knew he would since he doesn't care about the party (or the country for that matter).
NOT nominating Trump will be
extremely risky. Trump Jr. could, without even trying, split off 40% of the GOP voting base. And that's without even trying, or using the $decabillions that his father will have scored for him during his presidency.
But as the 2024 election cycle demonstrated, that won't happen: the GOP is perfectly happen to just capitulate to Trump and not take that chance. They know that it doesn't matter how bad they are since all they need to do is convince a majority that the other side is worse.
To my eyes, only way for democrats to lose is if team Trump manages to cancel or rig elections.
Then again, as i don't live there, it's hard to get real feel on how polarized they are and how sophisticated people actually are. But as they keep choosing trump, i don't get a feeling that they are very bright.
That's probably true in the upcoming election, but a lot can happen by 2028.