I don't see anything wrong with having Bitcoin from $80,000 to $90,000 if it will be bullish this time around while still in the bear season, that we are in the bear season does not mean the market should not appear bullish even though there is a certain limits to which it can go, this is why bitcoin is a volatile currency, as both the rising and falling creates avenue for people to buy and sell and be profitable in it investment either as an asset or being a digital currency for making payment.

Let's skip all these questions because you can not answer them accurately all, or if you do it accurately this time, you will fail in future times.
Predicting the market is challenging, with high risk of failures, inaccuracy and if you make decisions based on them, you will lose your money.

In fact there is another easier way, investing and focusing on long term holding, then you will never need to have these questions as well as need of finding answers for those questions.

In long term, Bitcoin will break out not only this $80k resistance or rejection zone, but will also break out the latest market's ATH and makes new ATHs. Let's emphasize, making many new all time highs, not only one after breaking the current ATH.

This current price will not going to be the highest before the end of this year bro. Based on some research I carried out few days ago, I think the price of Bitcoin will cross $90k before the end of this year 2026 and it will make many people to start selling their Bitcoin.

I will re-reveal what I said in my local forum.
Currently retail is divided into two camps, there are those who believe that this is a bullish movement and will continue to end the bearish season early and the camp where this is just a perfect structure for bitcoin to correct again and get its price DIP.
The polarization is sometimes similar to the past, when most retailers believed they would experience another decline, it usually did not happen, and if retail expects at a certain price level it always fails too.
On the technical side, the price is now looking for ways to break through resistance at $82k-$83k after it can be broken, the probability will be much better, on the other hand if it doesn't break through we can re-consolidate and strengthen the support position for the next surge, technically it always has two directions of probability, depending on the price confirmation that occurs, although it is no guarantee.

But personally in macroeconomics that the US is very difficult to raise interest rates again because if they do raise interest rates then their economy will choke, like you swallow an avocado seed, the only step the US can take is to do QE, one example is they buy bonds, and it will continue, the probability of financial assets even bitcoin will increase (in short like that), lucky those who have accumulated a lot of bitcoin in the sideways period this year and always hold they bitcoins.

Or maybe just another accumulation range during which price plays jump-rope with the price $80k multiple times before it resumes rising back up again, similar to what happened over the past 11 days after price played jump rope with $60k-ish price.

I believe that's the one factor they don't talk about that's so important to the discussion volume. If the price breaks out at the $80K level, but on low volume, that's not as convincing as it sounds as it could just be a temporary move above the resistance level. If that is the case, and buyers have the ability to continue buying through the zone with sufficient buying pressure and then hold the price at $80k in the downtrend, then it would really lend some credibility to the breakout. If not, if there isn't enough buying pressure, then the level will eventually become a rejection area. In my opinion, it is better to use price action and volume instead of only a single exact level as the confirmation level.

60k seemed to be the "consensus" bottom (that's just my anecdotal memory at work) and if so, then where we're at now is still relative bargain.

I personally felt (arbitrarily) 60k didn't seem to hurt as much as I remember other bottoms did, so I'm still prepared for worse. I do understand that 40k is half of where we are now...

For me, it's not real until we get a clean weekly close above $82k followed by a boring retest that holds. If it just crab-walks at $79.8k over the weekend while funding rates go crazy, expect the usual dump to remind everyone why they shouldn't trade with 50x leverage on a Sunday night.

Of course and it could be a bull trap.

Maybe the market will rest here for a while and start moving up again. Maybe the opposite could happen, from my point of view the opposite is very unlikely.

Most retail investors are probably also waiting for the price of $90k-$100k. Taking profits at $80k may not be a good move. Maybe we are entering the market like a few days ago where the price was tied at $60k-$65k, and now it may be tied at $75k-$80k. It is not possible to say anything for sure yet, it will take 4-5 days to understand the market movement. For now, I can say that Bitcoin will continue to recover its price.

The price is unpredictable, there's every tendency that the price may change, so we can't choose a particular specific price as the confirmation zone for now....

The price changes, which it can go against what we may predict "unlike" before bitcoin got to 80k, so many predictors were predicting and expecting the price to fall below 60k due to a lot of negative news about investors polling out their investment in Bitcoin, but yet Bitcoin price still increases...