It's not being bearish- it's realistic long term view after watching many coins for a few years.
Sure monero can hit 10$,100$ ,1000$  maybe even more- EVENTUALLY.
Talk like that because of a 30% rise in day just brings disappointment in the short term.

I'll be glad as you if we go up so more. But there are plenty of people with coins bought between 0.001-0.003 (and btc bought at 200-250) that will sell with a nice profit at this time- it just takes a flatline price for a bit and people get jittery.

A "life-changing amount of purchasing power" for someone who was living "normal developed world life" is USD 2-10 million.

Monero (unlike Bitcoin) has not generated any such people, because nether the craftiest miner nor the shrewdest speculator has been able to amass XMR valued at 2, let alone 10 million dollars. Both because such amounts are either impossible or statistically heavy outliers, and because acquiring them would have required resources that are outside the realm of people living such middle-class life.

Therefore, we can conclude that the divestment from such people, enough in quantity to cap a major rally, is not happening until such people exist. Any selling below that is speculative selling by speculators, but as analysed before, very few were left after the prolonged downtrend. Starting from now, some will be gained.

In my analysis, the uptrend will now continue until a tipping point (no timeframe given), and then recede possibly to 0.003-0.0045 area. Because my prior forecast that XMR "does not like" 0.002-0.003 range seems to have been confirmed, dips to this range are buying opportunities.

The emergence of USD pricing (decoupling from BTC) means that the ranges should be revised upwards. For those pricing in USD, $1 will be a good choice of a "sticky price". Also BTC took a multi-month breather around that price in the middle of the 2010-2011 uptrend, on its way to $32.

Well, that's true.
There definetely are people who might take take their profits at some point...
Historically, however, Monero has been able to handle 30 % daily pump without crash. The crash takes place if the pump is 35+ % for longer time (like 1-2 days).
People like me are not even taking profits at 10 usd per coin, we are building here new economy, not pumping and dumping.
That being said, it is interesting to speculate and also try to guess when it is good entry point to add stash and when it is time to be neutral.
Selling takes place at least in my case when we clearly see noobs coming into the markets and they need their part of the pie. I am willing to share some of mine to them.

Keep in mind also, that bull trend is preventing speculators from selling.
Who wants to kill a cow for one time meat if it gives you milk for rest of cow's life.

large scale monero mining == a pain kinda sorta. Special versions of GPU miners etc.

i've read that most professional miners wait for a high price to stabilize before committing resources.

average joe miners still flummoxed by lack of GUI.

I mean, I guess the main miner drifter would be from litecoin or DRK - those are mostly GPU mined still, right?

I think the bolded is quite true. Just as BTC was (and will continue to be) a revolution of sorts, it appears that another Trojan Horse (perhaps several) is due on the scene to push the boundaries/tech further.
And in many of our opinions here, it appears Monero has an incredibly good shot at this "pushing".

Many of us BTC "followers" get the disruptive anti-fragile technology and what that really means. But I wonder how many really do.
This is not about getting rich, though that is a bit of a revolution as far as money disbursement goes.
This is about pushing the envelope of what we thought money was, what it is and further what it is becoming (e.g. how we define it).

This Black Swan is only getting started (BTC, XMR, etc.) and it is going to organically morph and adapt... and destroy (or rather help to) what we no longer need.
The Ross trial is a teeny little glimpse into disruption. I get a feeling the boundaries are going to be really stretched here.

And I wonder, just as those early BTC adopters created liquidity out of nothing and helped to create a whole space, we are going to see a subset of them further take this space via XMR to a perhaps more "extreme" place. And for the betterment of us all, don't forget the other.

Its about sharing

I guess we shall see in the next few days. If it drops then I guess there were enough people in the profit zone to sell now (I'll rule out "non-believers for now)

I think hashrate usually follows the price up with some delay. Mining is a business of its own, you don't mine to invest in a coin, you buy the coin.

I have found that the price of Monero relative to Bitcoin decreases initially on any Bitcoin down swing.

We haven't really had Monero during a true Bitcoin up swing so who knows.
When Bitcoin hit $1,000+ Litecoin took a while to truly catch up, and when it did, $45!

That's $45 for coin 4 times less scarce and more useless than Monero.

If Monero has the database and GUI work partially integrated into the main client by the time Bitcoin has a true $1,000, $2,000 up swing, we could see Monero going crazy.

I know you asked about Bitcoin going down, but I just feel like being more optimistic.

I think that any Bitcoin decrease will not be a good thing for Monero (unless Monero is the reason for the decrease, however that's unlikely to ever happen....)