Awesome spreadsheet, thanks for sharing!

Can I make the suggestion to change the date format? 9/7/2015 reads like the 9th of July 2015, but you mean the 7th of September 2015.
So YYYYMMDD or DDMMYYYY would be less confusing then the current MMDDYYYY

FINE.

The reward factoring may be a wee optimistic, as global energy priced in USD declines.  I suspect recent BTC repricing was mosttly attributable, and the bfx margin calls merely symptomatic.

"Most", however, is telling.  It wouldn't take more than one, strategic, bust to start a stampede. And it has already been a factor in some. And it will inevitably be a factor in many more.

Similarly, a prominent Chinese execution for economic crimes in the form of blockchain-based capital control violations, if it occurred in close proximity to even momentary public awareness of XMR could suffice to redirect some relatively large flows.

That this sort of thing has not already become a significant valuation factor can be explained:  Firstly, there are just too many entrenched alternatives in place for evading capital controls, albeit accessible only to large established players, and execution rates quite low for crimes associated with adequate stealth and wealth to make bribery feasible.  Secondly, the appeal of the channel depends on liquidity, a bootstrapping problem, and so much as access to liquidity is mediated by BTC the benefits for avoiding vulnerability to blockchain analysis lack credible, pragmatic value.

 
 
I think the bigger issue is fungibility instead of just trying to hide assets.  Financial privacy is really just a side effect of true fungibility. 
 
The current situation with bitcoin is like trying to use original paintings as currency.  Each has a very different history and even exchanges can blackball entire groups of coins based on their history.  The very possibility could lead to legislation that mandates such actions "in the name of the greater good".  Obviously not suitable as a world-wide currency. 
 
As far as incentives?  You have maybe a million people who use bitcoin, and 6.998 billion who do not.  You will be able to convert some of the bitcoin crowd, but this isn't our sole focus.  We really want to speak to those who have yet to own any cryptocurrency and make it clear that owning Monero is their best option.

Yes.  In the protest march, our chants will be:

"No fungibility
without financial privacy." 

"What do we want?  " Cryptographic property guarantees!" "When do we want it?" "After open-source peer review!"

and:

"Hey hey, ho ho,
capital controls have got to go."

Love it, I could hear the crowd reading it. 

I don't even look at the price much these days.  I check it every few days and think, "Huh, that's neat" but don't stress.
 
Buying Monero at any price less than $1 is like getting it for free.  Less than $10 is a great deal in the long term.  And in the really long term, anything less than $100 to $1000 is also cheap.
 
You are literally buying control of a piece of the first private, digital, decentralized ledger in the history of human civilization.  This is no time for me to be worried about scraping satoshis off a purchase price.

I agree each letter in this post.
Despite everything you wrote is pretty much obvious, still the majority ignores it and that is the reason why the majority will not become rich in this. However, I hope the majority will end up at least middle class in this ride. 

 
 
Global resources would easily support a system where all humans earn a modest living wage, and then depending on talent and willingness to work they could earn a commensurate salary: it's the ideal mix between socialism and capitalism.  The most talented and hardest working humans deserve to earn very high salaries while no one deserves to go hungry/sick.  I think this is something that we can all agree on, and I also believe that giving every human something of value that can be *lost* should they resort to violence and crime is also a powerful motivator that will see crime rates plummet. 
 
The only problem with this ideal meritocracy is the canvas of global politics and money which basically makes it impossible.  Crypto is the hot razor that will slice right through that untearable fabric and help build a world that operates on a level that makes this one looks like the stone age. 
 
In the big picture?  This isn't about the rich and poor.... we're trying to escape any of the thousand catastrophes which could wipe out sentience here at any moment.  The critical mass of intelligence on this planet has been reached, and either we will ignite a form of conscious fusion, or we will implode back into the nothingness from whence we emerged. 
 
Wouldn't it be neat if Monero really is one of those crucial molecules on the path to where we're going?