Ya gotta be in it to win it, brosef.
Tell that to current owners of 2 or more regular Mini-Rigs.....
My bet would be that the guys with the cash to put out for those things would look at the trade in deal as if they were getting 50% off their order of next gen gear. Which technically they will be.
Well, I looked at it like...just having come up with $30+k in order to buy 2 Mini-Rigs, only to be FORCED to spend an additional $30k in order to PROTECT your investment in UNDER 1 year, or become obsolete....
This isn't like the $6000 in 7970 video cards that I bought recently....we are talking a shit-ton more cash.
The last thing I want to see are the TRUSTED users get screwed and leave Bitcoin, only to leave the block chain open to attack from others.
I felt SAFE having gigavps owning/controlling a large amount of hashing power. I can not say the same for new people that we know nothing about.
I see what you're saying. That is certainly a possibility that those with big numbers in the game already would just not want to shell out any more into a high risk venture like mining. That scenario aside, I am confident that the combination of the rest of the GPU's leaving the grid, the small impact FPGA has had on the diff so far and the slow rate which the asics are likely to be released. That the earnings from current high end FPGAs will remain worthwhile until atleast this time next year. Not considering at all, other factors like the price point after block reward having, etc, etc, etc..