And another thing that helps convince me personally, though I completely understand if you don't find it convincing, is that I know a lot of people who are very active in the Bitcoin economy. Every single one of them that I've discussed this with, and that's most of them, is 100% firmly convinced that it's a Ponzi. This includes top-level people associated with Mt. Gox, formerly associated with Tradehill, associated with Bitcoin Magazine, three people who each hold in excess of 50,000 bitcoins each, and so on. Not one of them has any other explanation that they think is even remotely likely.
And while I love a big "I told you so" as much as anyone, I honestly would love to be wrong about this, because a lot of people are going to get hurt very badly. This could be the Bitcoin equivalent of the global economic collapse because so many Bitcoin-related things have serious exposure that they may not even realize.
Why isn't everyone creating
The Next Big ThingTM? Wealth has little to do with the ability to understand an idea. There's a perspective shift required to make use of a situation, especially when it comes to new technologies. It's summed up well by the phrase:
"Why didn't
I think of that?"
If everything Pirate is doing were confined exclusively to the Bitcoin economy, there would be no chance of perpetual operation; it would've been over almost three months ago. Instead, I think churn at the margins is being capitalized on. As long as that continues, there
will be profit potential.
As I've suggested - gold and silver market management is extremely profitable for the entities involved, and it continues to be profitable for them even as the USD price rises. The same applies to Bitcoin on a smaller scale (for now). To understand how this is possible, that perspective shift is necessary. There are perhaps a few dozen prominent individuals with this view regarding gold, and they're mostly labelled as the fringe. Gold and silver continue to defy the skeptics, who happen to be the vast majority and many of whom are very wealthy.
How many big, wealthy household names understand Bitcoin (not that [m]any are even aware)? Does that make them right and us wrong, or do we share a unique perspective that they haven't been able to grasp?