do you guys think the price will move up right there and then when ICONOMI is released or will there be users dumping it first?
I've seen some coins the goes up first but they are just too few of them. the rest goes down every released on the exchanges.
Iconomi is not "some coin" but a platform (being developed, should go live this year) that will manage funds and provide weekly dividends to all ICN token holders (shareholders of that platform). It has real value in the real world, and is not another niche coin that aims to become the next big thing.
As for your question - it depends on the market and the sell/buy pressure. Currently that sell/buy pressure is based on assumptions about the future potential and future speculations. I don't think that most of the tokens will be offered for sale in that early stage, which should generate more buy pressure, thus higher price
Once the platform goes live with 2 operational funds, I believe the story will be different - up, up and UP.