Wow! Easter already! I sure you can help photoshop the new label "Bunnies Dicks"... help save someone's job!

FTFY


Not so soon..



You party poop!!!!!


 


STAWP  cheering UR lil selfie for DOWNity.




I am not sure what you mean.

Are you saying that $21,600 is likely a decent bottom, but you are not exactly sure about the odds?

How could anyone (who has been studying the space) say anything else?  I know that there are guys with decent confidence that the bottom is not yet in.. so far $15,479 .. but gosh, I have hardly any clear vision regarding how, on a personal level, I am supposed to assign the odds.   I do agree that it is too early to proclaim that we are "out of the bear market," so from my thinking if we are "not out of the bear market" then that merely means that the odds for down are greater than the odds for up, but still does not mean that the odds for lower than $15,479 would be greater than 50%.. so maybe 40% at best.. but I still am lacking in confidence in regards to how to frame the overall picture (of odds for both up in down) in order that they add up..

I suppose that I could go back to my earlier post on the topic (that was revised December 16, 2021 and May 19, 2022) and attempt to revise it.. even though I am thinking that it would be a bit of a waste of time to go through such a process.. it would likely not help me in terms of changing any of my orders or anything (so why should I do it?  to help someone else?  I am not even sure if it would be helpful for anyone else beyond what I already did.. so people can go through their own calculations if they believe it to be potentially helpful... they can even use my earlier framing, if they consider that to potentially be helpful).

I think that I agree with your attempt to direct the idea of DCA salad daging, and one of the issues with the BTC price bouncing around within a certain kind of a range for a long time, there could be times in which we have already allocated a decent amount of coinz within this particular price range (and surely that is up to us regarding how to figure out the extent to which the quantity of coins that we have accumulated in and about these price ranges is "good enough for now" versus if we might want to consider to either employ more capital or to hold back on the capital "in case there is a further dip" so surely, we may well be in a better position to just "wait it out." if we feel that we have accumulated a lot of BTC in this price range (and even in lower prices), so we might not perceive ourselves to be getting a lot of value by continuing to accumulate within this price range.

Surely, we could also end up having regrets if the BTC price goes up and then it fails to go down further, then we might end up "kicking ourselves" because we then come to realize that we "could have picked up some more corn" in that price range.. so yeah, it can be a gamble an there can be a lot of dilemmas that are having difficulties working themselves out since we have spent a quite a bit of time passing through this price range in the past 8-9 months.. and surely having a cashflow for those 8-9 months could contribute towards our reaching an assessment that differs from another person who might have already transitioned into mostly living off of the income or a regular draw upon his/her assets (bitcoin and/or other assets).

For a no coiner or a low coiner, I would suggest that it should be a bit of a "no brainer" in regards to attempting to employ a kind of full force DCA that does not really attempt to second guess whether BTC prices might go lower.. especially given where the BTC price is at historically speaking.. and surely there are a lot of low coiners/no coiners that exist in the world - even though they might not even be sufficiently aware of their own status as no coiner/low coiner.. and they may wll not even realize that they are a "precoiner," so those of us who are recognizing the value and benefits of figuring out how many coins we want to get and how aggressive/assertive that we believe that we want to be should be in a much better position than those "precoiners" who do not realize their status..

hahahahaha.. and even some of the low coiners do not realize that they are low coiners either.. . .low coiner might be considered a kind of precoiner.. based on information asymmetry.. and/or failure/refusal to either study bitcoin adequately or to take adequate and sufficient actions to prepare for UPpity.

waiting for 20k dip to set up.

I got a dca and a 21k dip buy today.

+1 WOsMerit



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#haikuriposte

when do I haiku?
its random..need no reason
sometimes anyway

but a haiku block
it does not get better yes?
put him in his place

doubtful he haiku's
thats just my opinion man
buddy can take it