Those who started buying/mining before 2013 should have thousands if they held a majority of btc bought or mined.
2013-2016: 20-200 btc or thereabout.
After 2016- highly variable
I think that there is likely to be a lot of variance, depending both on how long someone might have been accumulating BTC and also how aggressive or whimpy such persons they might have had been in such BTC accumulation process... and maybe even accounting for some mistakes that were made along the way.
Maybe we could project something like a 4-year (1 cycle) accumulation of BTC, and then maybe another cycle of maintenance which might also include some relatively small levels of additional BTC accumulation.. but maybe also largely maintaining the original amount of BTC that was largely accumulated in the first whole cycle..
so maybe something like the below for the various 4-year accumulation phases... I am not sure if I should fill in the amount invested, since it may well continue to go up, so the earlier a person got in, the less that he would have had to have invested in terms of total dollar amounts.. .and so the later would have had been higher dollar amounts and getting way fewer coins, even with way more invested.
2012-2016 = 50-400 BTC
2013-2017= 35-280 BTC
2014-2017= 25-250 BTC
2015-2018= 18-180 BTC
2016-2019= 15-130 BTC
2017-2020= 12-100 BTC
2018-2021= 10-80 BTC
2019-2022= 7-60 BTC
2020-2023= 4-45 BTC
2021-2024= 1-28 BTC
2022-2025= .021-18 BTC
Need I continue? We can see where this is going. Way more capital accumulating way fewer bitcoin.
70's now gone?
You'll never see sub $70K prices ever again.
That did not age well.
By the way, I saw where you later said that it was a joke, and recall that even though we went down to around $56,500 around April 30, we are still having trouble getting down to some of the lower levels that you had been considering to be so probable.. yet sure, at the same time, we have not yet gotten to $80k or supra $80k numbers either.. so surely interesting times to have had been consolidating mostly between $60k and $70k for around 3.5 months-ish.
