What current bonus now? As I understand from February 12 to February 26 bonus is 45% ?
Yes, that is right. After February 26 (till March 12) the second round will be in progress and bonus will decrease to 35%.
I think Ill buy some tokens. This is profitable to buy tokens at this ICO stage. On the exhanges price will be more in any way than in this early ICO round

Mmm, that's tricky, since ETH will most likely be worth more by then (in my opinion). Is the ICO price set to USD or to ETH
This could be and ... sometimes the price on the exchange can go lower than ICO-price, there is no guarantee.
it will only get down due to whales manipulating the prices, people won't really sell below ICO price unless there is a whale buying low and creating panic from the newbies, now, if the project has a long roadmap, it may probably go below ICO price in time, but due to lack of interest until the project goes live.