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    Author Topic: Bitcoin vs. Gold Prices  (Read 2387 times)
    Hell-raiser
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    February 03, 2018, 06:30:57 PM
     #121

    Strictly speaking, the demand for physical gold is pretty resilient but let's remember that over 50% of all gold is used in jewelry today, not for investment purposes. So even if interest for gold as investment is on the wane overall, the lack of interest might not heavily affect the prices at the end of the day. On the other hand, there is a huge market of gold derivatives, which are sometimes called paper gold. Paper gold allows to increase the volatility of gold price, and those who are not looking into long-term or even life-time investments in gold can do pretty well with paper gold.

    I am very much against paper gold.

    In the short term, if you want to play the game against sharp, experienced professionals with deep pockets who are implicitly backed by the state-bank elites, ie bullion banks and investment banks, you're free to lose your money!

    In the long run, paper gold is not worth the same amount of toilet paper (since the latter has a good use,) since there's a lot more paper than the physical gold that the paper claims it reserves for you.  Of course, this is all legal, since I'm sure the elites make sure of that.  The fine print basically says, when it comes time to win big, you don't get to win.  (That is, when conditions are such that gold really goes crazy up.)

    This is like playing poker, where you invest some money in a hand that, although having only a small chance to win, will win big when things do work out.  But in the case of paper gold, it's precisely this scenario that you can't collect (or at least not collect nearly enough to justify the bet.)

    All paper will burn.

    Actually, in most cases you can't even have gold derivatives long term because they typically expire after a certain period of time. Here I refer to gold futures as well as options and likely gold ETFs too, though I'm not sure about the latter. With futures, for example, you can of course roll over the contracts for the next month, but you will have to pay a price difference which is about a few percent, so-called contango. This may not look like a big deal at first, but in real life you will be losing constantly, each month. It is like house edge in gambling if you know what I mean. This is not so much about playing against experienced professionals with deep pockets as playing against the system itself.
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