It looks like we'll be bouncing around this range till the middle of next year.

nope it doesnt. it looks like we pull right to the ATH until new year.
Maybe, but it's not looking promising right now. IMO the market should test resistance again, and if it breaks, shoot to about 1300$ before correcting.
If it fails to break resistance, then masterluc's scenario becomes favorite. The Chinese FUD or bullish news could make the difference.