Dash versus USD(Dash vs BTC included in faint cyan colour)
 chart
chartThis dash versus fiat chart shows two large timescale channels, one bullish dating from 2014 to 2018. Followed by bear channel which Dash is still in the bottom half of, trying to push up through the centre line. 
There are reasons to hope, based on technicals, that dash might be starting a new bull trend. (Bitcoin appears much more clearly to be heading that way and will probably drag all alts with it). But based on the long timescale picture from this chart Dash is still very much in its bear channel. It does appear like the low was around the end of last year with a brief lower spike back in March. I'd like to see dash break up into the top half of that bear channel. 
I've marked a few milestones on the chart too. I think you can strongly argue that Dash benefited a lot from the bitcoin scaling war. After the creation of bitcoin cash however, there is now arguably a more obvious candidate than dash to take the big blocker  / low fees demand, not forgetting bitcoin SV and litecoin. Big blocks and cheap fees will not be a unique or big selling point for Dash. 
Disappointingly chainlocks entered with a massive whimper.  It seems like the market doesn't care about chainlocks.  
Dash wants to be the best payments option, which means best digital cash. Instant transactions, cheap fees, optional privacy. Dash already has these. The forever promised decentralised evolution of easy user names instead of guids still to materialise. But even when it does. How do we know the market demands that? It didn't seem to demand Dash's instantsend, privatesend, chainlocks protection very much. Dash platform when it finally does arrive. Will it be demanded? Or are nice usernames just a nice to have that isn't really valued? Or, is dash platform supposed to take on etherium and provide a superior smart contracts platform or something ?  (a fools errand if so)
Does the world demand digital cash right now? Maybe it prefers digital money, ie store of value. In these unprecedented times are you better off spending cash or saving money. 
Dash has fallen versus bitcoin much more than versus fiat (the faint cyan chart superimposed). In times like these (deep in bear markets) there is a lot of soul searching and introspection. Every dasher has an opinion what has gone wrong. 
Ryan Taylor thinks miners are selling too much of the fresh supply, he thinks the dash network 'pays' them too much. He thinks we don't need the hashrate, we already have too much hashrate (AND has managed to engineer an actual change to the block reward protocol to take away miner reward). This will be implemented soon assuming miners support. Is Ryan correct with this assumption? Most masternode owners jump at the chance to take miner reward for themselves and voted accordingly. I am extremely unconvinced.
Toknormal and very few others ( I include myself with him) have very vocally on forums argued that this is the exact wrong approach. That the market appears to value 100% mined cryptos. And that dash should increase the allocation to miners to have a chance of competing without such strong headwinds. Far from decreasing miner allocation it should be increased. We think the market demands these coins born from the crucible of competitive mining. The market values them for scarcity and store of value. 
There are others with different opinions still. Bigrcanada thinks speculation is still very unsophisticated and not based on any real fundamentals and in large part this is because dash is a victim of trolling. (dahaa anyone)
Anyway, I'll try and conclude. Dash still in a bear trend but chances high it will be dragged up with the whole cryptosphere. It does look like bottom reached versus fiat and bitcoin. Block reward changes will improve store of value if you are to believe the masternode community. In my opinion this will most definately not improve the store of value proposition for Dash. Dash is better than fiat and I predict will have a bull run against fiat. Against other pure proof of work coins. I believe Dash has fundamental headwinds because of the block allocation. 
I lay it on the line. I hope the bigrcanada idea has merit and dash has sudden pump on some whimsical unsophisticated crypto wave I am so far not seeing evidence 'payments' is it.