Man I am 1-3 with my calls so far this season, not good.
I'm about 50/50 on bets, but financially I'm still a little bit ahead on the season so far. The Giants really pissed me off last Thursday. I only needed two more points to win my prop bet and the G-men let me down. To be fair, the Niners' second team also let me down, but no body expected them to run up the score. I was so confident that was a sure bet; Niners -6.5, CMC anytime TD, Total Points O44.5 that I put a whopping $30 bet down, lol.
Yes I'm a cheapskate and allergic to losing money on gambling. I've been looking at Against The Spread (ATS) stats when placing bets, based on the idea that teams that cover will continue to cover. Of course there isn't a wealth of statistical data for ATS totals only 3 weeks into the season, but I tend to fare better toward the last few weeks.
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/trends/ats_trends/Sounds like a good strategy, thanks for the link. I'll take a look at that.
Well it's not all luck. I've always maintained that it's 1/3 luck, 1/3 skill, 1/3 dedication (paying attention/making moves etc).
That's probably the most accurate way of looking at it, I can't argue with those breakdowns.
Man what a boring game tomorrow ..GB vs the Lions mehhh. Will have to create some prop bets to make it more interesting.
It does look like it'll be a boring game on paper, neither team is really expected to do much this year. But with Minnesota and Chicago winless after week 3, these two are looking like the top candidates to win the division. I find it nearly impossible to predict the winner, so I'll probably pass on a bet for this one.