If you truly believe in 4 years cycle then you must not count the 2021 because it is a bullish year when supposedly that is bear from the halving of 2020?

but yes I am also a believer of that span of time for the market to evaluate .

never that it will be like the recent because that is the effect of worldwide economy as the pandemic enters the world .

so Never that same thing will come .

Dont think the stock market is making the effect on bitcoin in this case, we have the habit of correlating things too much, I think they are both moving on their own accord. The fiat market in my country is dropping and bitcoin also started like that but bitcoin is now recovering while the fiat market here is still dropping.

Therefore I am putting money into stocks I wished to buy at low and also placed buy orders on bitcoin at 30k.

No, because they are all humans and trading is not for them, but they will not realize that and continue to lose money and blame bitcoin for their losses.

Possible, they bought at highs, a common mistake in any speculative market.

This line is true for many users.  

This post is indeed meat in due season. Thank you for taking out your time to put the out there. There is so much insights on how the market operates and why it’s reacting the way it is.

Bitcoin-Nasdaq correlation is at all time high. Maybe not all stocks are linked to BTC, but tech stocks are for sure. BTC had it bounce back while indexes fell 2 days back, but that's because it had corrected much more and came close to the point of mining cost. It's not easy to make bitcoin run below the cost of mining. It happened before, but we always had fast bounces above when miners refused to sell at a loss.


And their headlines are hilarious.
"Bitcoin bloodbath, get ready for maximum pain" "bear market confirmed, it's over for bitcoin" and the same people 2 months later were saying to buy bitcoin for 60k and not miss out on the opportunity of a lifetime
I'm disappointed by most youtube channels. They claim to know what's going on, claim to be crypto enthusiasts, yet every time the price moves they amplify the market sentiment by running around like headless chickens.

Actually, in 2 years we'll be very close to another halving and this usually works wonders for Bitcoin. The negativity rarely drags on for more than 6 months. Just wait until 1h chart moves forward so much that the November/December drops won't fit on people's screens and they'll act like it was never there

The truth is that for me the movements of the market are not very clear, because these are the moments where at least I am out of the market because I do not have a clear idea of what movement can occur, if the price goes up or down, the truth is, do so analysis and come to a conclusion I do not feel very sure, at least from what I have seen is that the price of BTC has already bottomed out at the $30k levels, and it is a good floor for it to push forward, my perception long-term market remains bullish.

After every bull-bear trend that starts with a sudden high or low there comes in a correction phase and a confusion phase, correction happened to drive the price back to 34-35k USD and now the confusion state as to some people selling while others buying making the price bounce between 36-38k USD. So it is not just you who is confused.

From this level both up and down is possible depending on which trend is triggered by the biggest movement in volume. I think quick flippers are the ones who make the most in this time period while long term buyers wait it out - you dont want to end up buying/selling at the wrong direction at this time.

A safer bet to buy is around 30k and sell at 40k or above. But this somewhat stagnancy might remain for this weekend before bigger movement occurs. Even the 30% crypto taxation news in India did not make much impact on this.

Honestly, I feel the same way as you if I search for "bitcoin" On youtube, almost all the content they convey is weightless. Yes they don't seem to really know about bitcoin, but what they are really looking for is adsense. But not a few people believe what they say.
But apart from that, there is still one channel that I like to watch, and I think this youtube channel that I watch is enough to give me knowledge.

You guys saw it yesterday, 41k USD was held and today 42k close to 43k is being reached. This is a gradual correction happening. But with weak hands still trying to sell at these levels, it will take some to cross back to 45k.

Two options, it can hold or it can break, both are good for you - why? If they break, you get a lower price to buy at and if they hold you can be rest assured that the support level is still strong.

Dont read too much my man. I mean do read, but read some good work of fiction and not the shit that is posted on the internet.

The stuff that gets written on youtube (spoken I mean) and social media is just Teleology and not professionally done analysis. Just observe support/resistance levels and place orders according to them. Your point is just to make the profit from the oscillations between them.