ask me if i listen to KWN, answer: yes, to ALL of the interviews. i occasionally glance at Eric Degroots posts in deference to miscreanity. but do i agree with them? answer: NO. why? b/c I have a brain of my own. i understand both the inflation AND the deflation argument and recognize that there's an end to everything.
which of those guys made the calls i did in my OP of my subscription thread? answer: neither of them. all they ever say is UP, UP, UP. they are linear thinkers. they see a line and can't help but extrapolate it to infinity.
I don't listen to all of the KWN stuff. I pay particular attention to a select handful of people but listen to others if I am bored and have time. A lot of the KWN regulars including especially the most bullish were saying anything
but 'up, up, up' when you supposedly made your genius call to dump gold. There was closer to universal consensus that it was a time to expect something of a blow-off in fact. To be fair, a lot of these same folks called the bottom of the correction to soon and to high.
perhaps they don't understand cycles? perhaps they can't recognize the end of a bull? how many ppl were talking like they are at the end of the housing cycle in 2007? answer: alot.
I don't understand 'cycles', but nor do I understand voo-doo. Both have their practitioners and followers, and many of latter will shell out items of value for the service of the former. To each his own.
I was expecting the end of the property bubble in 2004 and I expect that it was due to paying attention to someone. Maybe I was just wrong on my own, but probably not. I try to amalgamate input from a wide variety of viewpoints and don't get fixated on any particular one.
I run across exceedingly few sources who share my understanding of money (right or wrong though it may be.) One or two on KWN, but they don't usually get heavily into the subject. I really cannot think of anyone on this forum. Most amatures will try to map their own joe-sixpack experiences with money, finance, etc to financial institutions, but it works about as well as mapping Newtonian physics to quantum electrodynamics...it is only practicable by those who have an extraordinary mastery of both subjects and very very few people do.