volyova has zero chance of successfully trolling me.   

Its time to stop lending moneros for 0.01% ffs are these people just stupid or what

Secured by criminals and used by criminals...World I give you, Monero  

Monero don't need any "serious investors" to be wildly successful. The black market alone is estimated to ~650 billion USD. If XMR only captures 1% of that market we're talking 6.5 billion usd, or split across 18.4 milion XMR that will give you a price of $353 per XMR. There's a calculator to play with the values here.

In reality it's hard to tell what would happen if 1% of the black market activity took place in XMR, but this could give us a ballpark figure, chances are it would be much higher.

So assuming your conclusion is true. A network by and for criminals could actually be a good thing, and I would be extremely bullish on a network as such. This is without even talking about tax havens where you'll find trillions in value. I think monero gaining traction in the dark web would be a great start and bootstrap it as a currency for criminals.

yeah, but its not like electronic cash is a new idea. its been around for over twenty years now.

these people obviously arent waiting for a gui to stash millions, theyve had enough time to figure out how to use a cli.

so whats stopping them?

That estimate seems really low. What do you mean by "black market" and what's the basis for that estimate?

I agree. It didn't matter to illustrate my point so I just used the estimates from this calculator.

Being explicit about the probabilities inherent in all predictions is important if you want them to be evaluated objectively. To measure the accuracy of a forecaster such as Anonymint, you can use a proper scoring rule, such as the Brier score, applied to his complete history of quantified predictions (including any updates).

How are you calculating liquidity? Is there an easy way to see a comparison of historical measures of liquidity for the "top" cryptocurrencies (including the ones you excluded above)?

Yes, you can never discount schadenfreude. There is much of this complex emotion in the crypto sphere.