Yes, but those very whales have been taking recent weekends off. On the other hand, if this is really the biggest and baddest capitulation of 2012, 2013 and probably all of 2014, then yes we could crash big this evening or this weekend.
Because I plan only one set of relatively low risk and highly profitable (should events unfold as planned) round-trip trades per capitulation, I really don't have to pay attention to the embedded day trading opportunities.
Well, things seem to be going exactly as you've been saying for the last few weeks, so you'll probably take much more profit than I will. But as we saw when someone placed a $2.1M market order to drive the price from $220-240, whales are capable of acting just as irrationally and unpredictably as anyone else. So long as there are entities with 10k+ btc it seems risky to me to be holding btc for any significant length of time during the start of a downtrend. But, I'm probably just rationalizing for the fact that my biggest weakness is that I can't sit still.
Thanks for posting, btw. You've been very helpful.