Wishful thinking. I don't know what will happen but this appears unlikely to me. I can see three scenarios:

• Hard bankruptcy, remaining fiat and bitcoins are shared out in proportion after losses are deducted
• Takeover by another company with deep coffers (not too likely, in my view, because Mt. Gox does not look very attractive)
• Mt. Gox wriggles through and comes out solvent, perhaps barely solvent, and continues to pay out slowly (also wishful thinking, but not entirely impossible).

The loss of reputation would be difficult to reverse, so I find it hard to see any rosy future for Mt. Gox.

Agree with your points although I don't think Gox would be that unattractive. An outside investor would see a huge client base and an opportunity to turn things around.

I must say that today I received a EUR 10,000 withdrawal that has been pending on MtGox from Jan 5 this year. Have some other withdrawals pending, but also reinvested some money in BTC at current low prices. I think bitcoin in the longer run will survive, so if Mt Gox also survives or is taken over by a competitor I might have decent gains on my last investments. If they don't suvive then I'm not convinced that I will recover a larger percentage of my cash than of my coins. If the coins then go back to the average value on the other exchanges, it might be better to be in coins. Or am I making a mistake in my reasoning?