ok, assume that there is no new hardware added the 48 hours before and after the difficulty increase(hypothetical) if slush's pool will find fewer blocks after the rise in difficulty who is getting the difference? if you are saying that there will be an overall decrease in blocks, well yeah, we were making too many per day, although it is probably only a fraction of a block per day. Everyone's per day income may go down, but not noticeably because it was going down everytime new hardware came on line over the last 2000 odd blocks. the difficulty has no immediate effect on income.

No.

During the 2016 blocks periode, the global (hourly, daily) reward is rising, as the global hashrate is rising. The (global) frequency of finding block is rising, so is the global reward. Reward for each block/share/MH/s is stable while the difficulty is constant. I.e., miners' reward is stable too, as long as their hashrate is constant. New miners/workers get equal reward per MH/s as the old ones, thus adding to the global reward increase.

At the moment of re-targeting, when difficulty rises, the number of shares to find a block rises instantly. That is, each share, each MH/s, gets less from that moment. So does the whole network. The global reward per (hour, day) drops with the ratio (old difficulty new difficulty). This way it compensates for the two weeks' rise, trying to restore the standard block periode of 10 minutes.
So, the reward of a miner with constant power, who had been getting constant reward for last two weeks, drops instantly too.

Yes, the rising global hashrate is the real reason. Reason why the difficulty must rise. But the reward drops appear at the moments of re-targeting, while during the 2016 blocks individual reward is stable and the global one is rising.

So: No, the reward is not going down everytime new hardware came on line through the 2016 block period. This accumulated rise in power is compensated for at the moment of re-targeting.

Totally wrong.

100 jalapenos is some 450 GH/s, it's nearly nothing in the >16 TH/s of the pool. (The pool has risen from ~12 TH to >16 TH in short time...)
Well, 0.45/16 is about 2.8 %, while the last difficulty change has been >23.9 %.

And most important: Yes, diff change caused a decrease in reward, while adding power to the pool did not. Adding power decreases reward per block, but increases block frequency, so daily reward remains constant.

ok 200 Jalapenos... I purposely low balled the number of Jalapenos to make a point. SOMEONE will always try to say your wrong when your right.
Like I said pointless topic I am totally right.
 scroll back 25 pages its tiresome repeating the same thing everytime diff increases

Pool luck is unaffected by changes in difficulty. In fact, pool luck is usually expressed in terms of shares per round difficulty, although I think slush uses difficulty shares per round * 100.

Pool luck (1 day, 7 days, 30 days):   73%, 87%, 96%

Doesn't look like that...

We may be ahead of yesterday stats, they being 50 to 70 % luck. But we definitely aren't all ready on pace to beat out yesterdays blocks, which would require luck >> 100 %.

[Edit] And I've been replying to the "pace", which I've understood to mean increasing luck, while I've been observing luck still decrease ATM.

I see the value continuing to go down.  In the coming months you will see a shift from GPU mining to ASIC mining.  GPU miners will start to get out because it's not cost effective.

And the small time GPU miners are the people who actually will take btc and spend them in the community.  Most ASIC miners are in it for speculation/investment.   And they will just sit on their btc.  Which is bad for the system.

The more people we have actually using btc for everyday purchases the healthier btc will be.

If BTC was just about pc gamers it should have fallen over ages ago.    Other people are using it, I would presume they will continue to do so until its no longer reliable.   Asic since it costs less per unit probably helps the system but not the little miners.

What GPU are you on that it is no longer profitable ?