@MagicSmoker - you're missing the point about luck. It's not the pool's luck I was talking about (see my message again) but each share's luck. As I explained a while back, even if you are mining with 2 rigs simultaneously, the 2 rigs will receive different shares to mine, and those shares will have different luck. Because you have a single card in those rigs, the payout will thus be highly variable.
Actually, you did not specify pool or share luck in your previous message, but I understand your point now and it makes sense. I still believe that my methodology would be okay *if* I had a large enough number of shares for each miner, even if they were variable diff, but...
The biggest flaw is that you look at payout instead of pool reported hashrate. The second flaw is that you are using a single card (a single card would be ok if the pool could give you 1 week average, but none of them do). The third is that you are using a bad pool (bad because it goes down often, has a highly variable ping, only reports 12h average, and has a very low hashrate -- yes, 2MH/s is very low, especially given you're using a single card).
I look at payout because I don't know how to get average hashrate from a pool except by looking at the SMA line on the graph, and that doesn't strike me as terribly accurate.
If you don't have the expertise to setup two identical private chains or divert rpc packets, then the best you can do is to use Flypool (226 MH/s) and look at the pool reported hashrate after 24h. It will be more reliable than luckpool+payout, but still slightly flawed (again, single card, different lucks for each card).
I don't currently have the expertise to set up a test network/private chain...
