*chuckles* same old line of reasoning. Aussie-man sgbett bad. he scammer.

I don't want your money, I don't want you to buy BSV, I want people like you to hold your BTC til the very end.

Commodore Amiga was a 32bit CPU first sold 1987, great innovation and potential used for many years but PC was unbeatable because it was modular (it was inferior for a decade after in some specifics) so it didnt matter as much if Amiga was better, PC served the common need better.      If we're taking lessons from history such as quoting Mt.Gox when that was a known mistake even back in 2013 people realised something was wrong but people will continue always to do the easiest thing.   The more simple the conclusion the more likely it will be repeatedly true.

Totally the right place so long as its BTC we discuss.    If criticism isnt possible then thats a failure right there but its not the case.

No alt is going to challenge BTC especially until its far easier to use by a big margin, then we can talk about vast populations of people who arent in crypto and could be and might be if its thats simple.   Any time they bring out a mobile phone with a wallet on it, thats probably the most relevant source of future success available.   When I was growing up, most people didnt like or couldnt handle PC, console was not really it as its just one task but mobile was the big sea change.  People dont want crypto but they might need it, its not the technical people who love the details who matter for future success I guess.
   I dont agree Mt.Gox can give us a specific price target 6 years later, it was an inaccuracy in the price.  I guess the volume of coins was significant and is being distributed now from it and I dont know the schedule of that sale.

Interesting thoughts. I’m of the opinion that gox was only a catalyst and that subsequent price action reflects crowd psychology. That’s why I think it applies here too. It’s less important what the specific event is that interrupts a price run than it is that the crowd concludes its over. Once they do I think price action unfolds similarly. Especially in a less sophisticated market. (I still don’t  think there is that much institutional money yet)

I can understand why someone might be sceptical and unhappy with the direction Bitcoin has taken.

What I don't understand is how any rational being can look at BSV and think 'hot damn, Craigy and his miner have this shit nailed.'

You can support big blocks and still think the current options offering it are broken jokes. It's not a crime or dichotomy. Most people are pissing on their current implementations and the personalities controlling them, not the concept.

I'm pissing on the concept as well.

There are 3 ways of securing a decentralized cryptocurrency network: inflation, demurrage, and transaction fees.

Demurrage (implemented in Freicoin) is unappealing to people because it's a literal tax on their holdings. People prefer a more imperceptible form of loss like inflation. However with Bitcoin, we've already sworn off long term inflation, leaving us only with the 3rd option.

Raising block size limit beyond transaction demand cripples any hope for transaction fees to secure a network. With unlimited supply of block space, there is no pressure on users to pay transaction fees. It's completely unsustainable in a post-inflation world.

It's a broken idea. We either need mandatory transaction fees or a fee market model.

I am bumping this.
The price did not follow this prediction, even though the trend looks kind of accurate but we weren't even close to the called prices that I am quoting, therefore how to believe the 2483 price?

We were never closed to 16k in April 2018...
What's impressive on the other hand is the bottom at the end of 2018 even though it was worse than your prediction. Hope you are wrong on the long term trend.

Safest way to buy that I know of is going off the easily upset human sentiment, the market momentum is far greater then to observe our personal hopes for it.     Theres not nearly enough upset people at 8500 for me to be especially bullish and we have no history right now of a regular bullish trend.
   People have these long term projections but theres giant amounts of space for price movement within those year to year expectations.     I'm not rich enough to disregard the ability for it to goto 6000 or maybe even lower.    I'll reassess when or if we get there and look for the green shoots of rising lows and all that while thats happening I guess I read lot of gloom.  If Im a decent trader I'll try to hold my own opinion and stay optimistic because long term I dont disagree we can move up still but the BTC market tests extremes quite often imo.

Thanks for the link about flat waves, that's interesting. I am still a newbie when it comes to techniques of trading. By the way by reading a totally different analysis (this one  https://beincrypto.com/btc-bitcoin-price-prediction-2019-2020-5-years-updated-10-10-2019/  ) would you think this analysis could be correct or looks too simple?

Would you admit to be wrong if a bull run occurs up to > $15k ?

Also, credit when it's due, I checked this again and even though you were very wrong about 2018, your price mid 2019 looks amazingly correct.
I mean look at that chart with the peak at 13k in May-June 2019, this call was amazing. Kudos.