https://www.csis.org/analysis/back-stock-state-russias-defense-industry-after-two-years-warHow a frog boils, but does not get out of the pan:
Ruzzia is planning to increase their weapons production, which can obviously be expected as the "Three days to Kiev" was cancelled and this is of course possible in a country were you can just ignore if the people would rather have better schools or better medical care.
What is significant is that the investment is not going to the latest in missiles, fifth gen fighters or sophisticated weapons that can penetrate any defence. They are going to produce... more shells. This gives an idea of how devastating this war has been for the best and most irreplaceable production of Ruzzia, now centering the efforts in first world war dumb explosives.
Given the size of the frog, this is not something to be taken lightly, but is a clear indication of how the future looks like for Ruzzia and for their reputation as weapons exporter too.
My guess? Putin is praying for a Trump victory, but should be careful of what he wishes on that regard.
One of the main developments has been the rapid emergence and massive scaling up of Russian civilian and military drones providing significant ISR and assault capabilities to the Russian armed forces, often launched with missiles for a maximum impact.
While Russia has also invested in the production of modern tanks, ammunition, and EW systems, CSIS research has revealed Moscow is not self-sufficient and relies on partners such as Iran and North Korea to field enough of these weapons on the battlefield. The analysis has also shown that while Russia indeed improved its domestic arms production capacity in 2023 compared to 2022, it has nonetheless continued to tap into its Soviet-era stockpiles by, for instance, refurbishing and sending its 60- and 70-year-old tanks to Ukraine. Overall, last year saw Russia transition into a long war of attrition while increasingly shifting to low-cost and lower-quality weapons systems.
Smells of frog.
Wow.... I think that some people are going to think that I read this before my posting about future strategy...
...
More precisely, Western policymakers trying to support the Ukrainian war effort should do
the following:
▪ Continue supplying higher-end military equipment to Ukraine at a pace that exceeds
Russias production rate.
[...]
▪ Target Russias oil revenues.[...]The main way to seriously undermine Russias capacity
to increase spending on its defense industrial sector is by targeting its oil revenues
[...]
▪ Close sanctions loopholes and enforce existing export controls.
[...]
▪ Collaborate with the countries of the Global South. T
[...]
▪ Begin planning for a strengthened and empowered European defense industry.
[...]
dude... I should get paid for this.
To the stupid stuff...
As Russian Troops Broke Through Ukrainian Lines, Panicky Ukrainian Commanders Had No Choice But To Deploy One Of Their Least-Prepared Brigades
The situation in and around Ocheretyne is desperate for Ukraine
[...]
Is it time to mobilize women and teenagers yet? Because UA is winning so hard?
Yes, a light brigade inadequately armed left positions. Another one was sent to stabilise. A not really unusual fuck-up, not a "collapse" but certain you are giving here a real frog leap into calling for recruiting teens. BTW women are already fighting for Ukraine, given a gun, they kill Ruzzis perfectly well.
But hey... perhaps they should learn from Ruzzia and send teenagers into military targets and then claim they were hit:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yelabuga_drone_factoryn July 2023, an investigation revealed the factory recruits students of Alabuga Polytech, a branch of the Yelabuga Polytechnic College, as workers, some as young as 15. As of August 2023, the factory had several hundred students employed.[11] The students were promised a job and locally competitive salary of up to 70,000 rubles (US$700) per month as part of a work experience program. Instead, students enrolled were encouraged, and in some cases pressured, into working at the drone facility where their salaries are contingent on meeting production quotas
In a 2 April 2024 offensive, the drone factory was struck by an improvised drone apparently adapted from a civilian light aircraft, likely an Aeroprakt A-22. Ukraine's military intelligence said the strike "caused significant destruction of production facilities".[2] Local governor Rustam Minnikhanov said the attack brought no serious damage or disruption to production.[19][2] Russian media reported a nearby workers' dormitory was damaged, with 12 injured.[20][21]
So, following your theory, Ruzzia is winning so big that they use teens in a drone factory, in which they get killed because Ukraine cannot hit Ruzzia???Boil frog boil.
