There is no way MS will be selling Bitcoin. He sees what the future holds and what Bitcoin offers
Why do you think that a person who:
- conducts a company depending heavily on the Bitcoin price,
- will benefit probably also personally from it,
- are one of the biggest Bitcoin whales (and thus the market will "hear" them),
- knows that each "change of direction" in the MicroStrategy communication, even if it becomes slightly more "reasonable" (e.g. mentioning 200.000 as a possible cycle top and not a million), could be interpreted by other investors as "he changed his mind, he now will sell and Bitcoin will crash!"
... should make accurate statements about the long term future of the behaviour of the company? Or should they instead make bullish statements all the time?
I'm quite sure that MicroStrategy's strategy is much more flexible than many think. They may re-evaluate continuously if their business model still works, and if yes (like now), deepen it, but if not, they may have several "B plans" (if they don't do that, they aren't doing their homework as a public company).
It's already interesting that it seems that in their newest Senior notes they don't even guarantee a cash repayment of the investment (if I understood
this announcement correctly).
he is getting in early.
If something has
only value when you "get in early", well, we have a name for it - starting with P. I'm not accusing Saylor of that, but the investment is still speculative: we don't know what Bitcoin's fundamentals will look like after some Central Banks bought it. Does it then still have room to the upside? I personally think 100.000 is still a good price to buy, but that's because I'm more bullish than the average investor and I think there are chances that Bitcoin could become a global currency. The market, however, prices
BTC slightly lower at this moment.
Besides of that -- I think I already posted that in this thread, one or two pages earlier -- MicroStrategy bought very few coins in the 2022/23 crypto winter and their cost is above average, because they simply don't get the money to buy really cheap (their senior notes sell well in a bull market, but only when the best days to buy have already passed).
For this reason, imo a Bitcoin DCA is much better than MSTR.